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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 100% | +83 pts | +62 pts | 98¢ · >99¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −15 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| November 30 | 100% | +17 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 352d |  tsybka8 fills | October 31 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $42,282 | +$11,116 +26% | 4 |
| 352d | LBZone | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 352d | LBZero | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 352d | BMTH | October 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,678 | −$145 −1.5% | — |
| 352d |  xyz9999 | October 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,830 | −$98 −0.9% | — |
| 352d |  Ralphi | October 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,333 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 352d |  Slowroasted | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,482 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 352d |  WhyShouldIStop | October 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 352d |  knrad | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,107 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 352d | sirdenal2 fills | October 31 | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,338 | −$696 −16% | — |
| 352d | knrad | November 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,218 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 352d | arttheking | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,117 | +$99 +1.6% | 4 |
| 352d | Friend | October 31 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,070 | −$70 −2.3% | — |
| 353d | mumr | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,165 | +$123 +1.7% | 4 |
| 353d |  duderr | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,266 | +$67 +2.0% | 4 |
| 353d | 123erty4 fills | October 31 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $6,709 | +$2,735 +41% | 4 |
| 353d | 123erty | November 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,107 | −$31 −1.0% | — |
| 353d | duderr2 fills | November 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,356 | +$196 +1.0% | 4 |
| 353d | knrad | November 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$22 +1.0% | 4 |
| 353d | 123erty3 fills | November 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,812 | +$113 +1.7% | 4 |
| 353d | 123erty2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,218 | +$94 +1.5% | 4 |
| 353d |  Imbafer | October 31 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$260 +18% | 7 |
| 353d | tsybka10 fills | December 31 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $72,837 | +$13,398 +18% | 4 |
| 353d | tsybka2 fills | November 30 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $23,380 | +$3,277 +14% | 4 |
| 353d | bolla-577 | October 31 | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $3,171 | +$4,829 +152% | 11 |
| 353d | ghostofvida | October 31 | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,220 | −$1,220 −100% | 8 |
| 353d | elPolloLoco7 fills | November 30 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $33,413 | +$5,436 +16% | 4 |
| 353d | elPolloLoco4 fills | December 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,666 | +$643 +11% | 4 |
| 353d | jsjr2 fills | October 31 | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $3,113 | +$3,113 +100% | — |
| 353d |  DumplingBMF | October 31 | SellNo79¢ → 0¢ | $4,646 | +$4,646 +100% | — |
| 354d |  claimpilot | October 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $1,612 | −$1,612 −100% | 5 |
| 354d | letsfingo | October 31 | SellYes21¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$3,915 −382% | — |
| 354d | Pintilie1988 | October 31 | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 355d | denizz2 fills | October 31 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $5,069 | −$5,069 −100% | 6 |
| 355d |  0xMadMax | December 31 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$500 +16% | 4 |
| 356d |  edwardkropp | October 31 | SellNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | +$1,004 +100% | — |
| 356d |  Roflan-ludoman | December 31 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$196 +18% | 4 |
| 356d | Pintilie88 | October 31 | SellNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,357 | +$1,357 +100% | — |
| 356d |  NiceDuckBro2 fills | October 31 | SellNo54¢ → 0¢ | $2,527 | +$2,527 +100% | — |
| 356d | solongandthanksforallthefish | October 31 | SellYes35¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | −$4,498 −186% | — |
| 356d | TheManInTheSky5 fills | December 31 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $6,749 | +$2,833 +42% | 4 |
| 356d |  Audrey.d | November 30 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$305 +25% | 4 |
| 357d |  loser321 | October 31 | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,119 +112% | 6 |
| 357d | BMTH2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $3,784 | +$4,666 +123% | 5 |
| 357d | Gloomy-Stag2 fills | October 31 | SellYes52¢ → 100¢ | $3,938 | −$3,649 −93% | — |
| 357d | needyourcash | October 31 | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,779 | −$1,709 −96% | — |
| 357d | tsybka8 fills | December 31 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $18,724 | −$4,204 −22% | — |
| 357d | needyourcash | October 31 | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,089 | −$1,089 −100% | 6 |
| 357d | Azrarn | October 31 | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $2,342 | −$2,065 −88% | — |
| 357d | amamori2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$4,050 +82% | 6 |
| 357d | RacistHitler | December 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,997 | +$326 +11% | 4 |
| 357d | RacistHitler | October 31 | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,906 +95% | 6 |
| 357d | Audrey.d | October 31 | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $4,878 | +$5,122 +105% | 6 |
| 357d | tsihkodiives2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $2,559 | +$4,759 +186% | 7 |
| 357d |  Aurik | October 31 | SellYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | −$2,489 −170% | — |
| 357d | duderr2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,937 | +$297 +10% | 4 |
| 357d |  mostobesegoldfish2 fills | October 31 | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $2,718 | −$2,718 −100% | 4 |
| 358d | hirotokingdom | October 31 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,252 | −$1,252 −100% | 4 |
| 359d | WEAP0N5 fills | October 31 | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $6,382 | −$6,621 −104% | — |
| 360d |  GoriIIa | December 31 | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | −$380 −23% | — |
CrowdOracle5,905 shares
GayPride5,232 sharesThis is a market on whether Russia will successfully capture the city of Kupiansk by the specified date.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 100%.