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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 279d | Adorable-Yard | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,049 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 279d |  qjrPM1 | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,855 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | 0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,164 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 279d |  aenews22 fills | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,271 | +$29 +0.2% | 4 |
| 279d | Palace87093 fills | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,954 | +$100 +0.7% | 4 |
| 279d |  OraculumNobius | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,843 | +$119 +3.1% | 4 |
| 279d | arttheking | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$40 +3.6% | 4 |
| 279d |  NadyaSuleman | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$56 +4.6% | 4 |
| 279d | qjrPM1 | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,596 | +$194 +7.5% | 4 |
| 279d | Dapper-Grandfather | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$133 +12% | 4 |
| 279d |  bamesjond2 fills | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,358 | +$259 +11% | 4 |
| 279d | jklsjdwoqejasdf | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$280 +16% | 4 |
| 279d | JohnReacher | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$293 −20% | — |
| 279d | acrx999 | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | −$703 −20% | — |
| 279d |  Car2 fills | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,397 | −$682 −20% | — |
| 279d | Admirable-Poem3 fills | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $7,300 | +$1,120 +15% | 4 |
| 279d | Admirable-Poem | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,786 | −$708 −19% | — |
| 279d |  nt0 | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,997 | +$576 +12% | 4 |
| 279d | Trusty-Towel | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | −$224 −18% | — |
| 279d | soflo | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | −$190 −16% | — |
| 279d |  duderr | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,594 | −$335 −9.3% | — |
| 279d | Odysseus7 | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,121 | +$22 +1.0% | 4 |
| 279d | duderr2 fills | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,629 | +$99 +2.7% | 4 |
| 279d | Car4 fills | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $8,067 | +$1,679 +21% | 4 |
| 279d | alex562 | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$31 +3.1% | 4 |
| 279d | soflo | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$33 +2.4% | 4 |
| 279d | Probs | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | +$55 +3.7% | 4 |
| 279d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$42 +4.2% | 4 |
| 279d | yougotme | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$153 +11% | 4 |
| 279d |  JaidenAnimations2 fills | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,707 | +$763 +16% | 4 |
| 279d |  .jeet | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $9,407 | −$2,458 −26% | — |
| 279d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $29,669 | +$10,152 +34% | 4 |
| 279d | .jeet2 fills | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $5,830 | +$2,033 +35% | 4 |
| 280d |  CrispySchnitzel | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,993 | −$1,993 −100% | 6 |
| 280d |  suraxy | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | −$454 −45% | — |
| 280d | 20251021 | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$327 +32% | 4 |
| 280d |  WarriorPooh | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$368 +34% | 4 |
| 280d |  MasonsConqueredRome | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | SellNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,077 | +$1,077 +100% | — |
| 280d | Trusty-Towel | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$390 +35% | 7 |
| 282d | Boring-Pike | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$406 +32% | 4 |
| 282d |  eightpenguins3 fills | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $5,748 | +$1,797 +31% | 4 |
snowmonkey6 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government. An official announcement or agreement will qualify. Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer. The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify. US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count. Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
