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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pope Leo XIV | 0% | −4 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 0% | −4 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jensen Huang | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zohran Mamdani | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charlie Kirk | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Altman | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bad Bunny | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ariana Grande | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| María Corina Machado | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jerome Powell | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sundar Pichai | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ChatGPT | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dario Amodei | 0% | — | −3 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maggie Kang | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Geoffrey Hinton | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mustafa Suleyman | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Giorgia Meloni | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kendrick Lamar | 0% | +1 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JD Vance | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sanae Takaichi | 0% | +6 pts | +5 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Demis Hassabis | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Javier Milei | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Christine Lagarde | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302d |  ZhangMuZhi- | Jensen Huang | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,348 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 302d |  TheAugur | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone2 fills | Geoffrey Hinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,318 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone | Kendrick Lamar | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,328 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone2 fills | Sam Altman | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,675 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone2 fills | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,921 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone | Dario Amodei | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,216 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone | Demis Hassabis | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,296 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone | Javier Milei | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,216 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone | Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,795 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone | María Corina Machado | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,375 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,553 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,692 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone | Jerome Powell | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,941 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone | AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,615 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | iamgone | Jensen Huang | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,306 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d |  jesterthegoose | Ariana Grande | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,756 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | jesterthegoose | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,789 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | jesterthegoose | Christine Lagarde | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,209 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | jesterthegoose | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,750 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | jesterthegoose | Bad Bunny | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,294 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | WTETH | Mustafa Suleyman | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | pelik | Zohran Mamdani | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,856 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d |  branson69 | Shohei Ohtani | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | Pobby | Kendrick Lamar | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,448 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | LinusB | Sanae Takaichi | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,063 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | LinusB | Zohran Mamdani | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,733 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d |  Nobo | Giorgia Meloni | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | branson69 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,262 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 302d | Nobo | Sundar Pichai | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d |  Chims | Charlie Kirk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 302d | TheAugur | ChatGPT | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,111 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | Nobo | Charlie Kirk | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,645 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | TheAugur | JD Vance | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,981 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | pokgaikid | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,651 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | TheAugur | Ariana Grande | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,099 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d | TheAugur | Maggie Kang | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,325 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 302d |  UwO | Xi Jinping | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,669 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 302d | UwO | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,041 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 302d | Lessgo123 | Pope Leo XIV | SellNo>99¢ | $1,353 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 302d | jaedung | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$14 +1.1% | 20 |
| 302d |  TeemuPukki2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,456 | +$254 +1.9% | 20 |
| 302d | acrx999 | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,943 | +$57 +2.0% | 20 |
| 302d | dfh5y732562q5 | Xi Jinping | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,329 | +$11 +0.8% | 20 |
| 302d | 3673dfg46246 | Xi Jinping | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | +$11 +0.8% | 20 |
| 302d | dfgry4y6246 | Xi Jinping | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | +$11 +0.8% | 20 |
| 302d | hr54y67wa | Xi Jinping | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 302d | dcgdry4t62q436 | Xi Jinping | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 302d | dfgae54y6aR | Xi Jinping | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 302d | Peanutbettor2 fills | AI | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,200 | −$149 −2.9% | — |
| 302d | Peanutbettor5 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $19,294 | −$545 −2.8% | — |
| 303d |  peggysage2 fills | Charlie Kirk | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,440 | +$40 +0.6% | 20 |
| 304d | CaptainJackSparro2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$63 +2.6% | 20 |
| 304d |  bamesjond | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,159 | −$64 −3.0% | — |
| 304d | Djibooty | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 20 |
| 304d | Djibooty | Zohran Mamdani | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | +$15 +1.2% | 20 |
| 306d | JeremyJ | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$34 −3.3% | — |
| 306d | Peanutbettor2 fills | Pope Leo XIV | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $18,871 | −$545 −2.9% | — |
| 306d | Peanutbettor7 fills | Pope Leo XIV | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $17,784 | +$1,503 +8.5% | 20 |
| 306d |  eightpenguins2 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,570 | −$138 −3.0% | — |
Fartard2,583 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Pope Leo XIV means the market gives it about 0%.