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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 29 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 15 | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 28 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d |  OraculumNobius3 fills | April 29 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,248 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 170d | OraculumNobius2 fills | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,238 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 170d |  IJaSI | April 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 170d |  Mine-Carrying-Dolphin2 fills | April 29 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,860 | −$70 −0.6% | — |
| 170d |  beenraping2 fills | April 29 | BuyYes>99¢ | $41,785 | +$52 +0.1% | 20 |
| 170d | OraculumNobius2 fills | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,439 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 170d | beenraping | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,145 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 170d | beenraping | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,187 | +$28 +0.1% | 20 |
| 170d | anon.1980.1237 fills | April 29 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $22,867 | +$695 +3.0% | 20 |
| 170d | MarvelousManou | May 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$8 +0.6% | 20 |
| 170d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,263 | +$29 +0.3% | 20 |
| 170d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | April 29 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $29,641 | +$228 +0.8% | 20 |
| 170d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly3 fills | May 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,126 | +$107 +1.2% | 20 |
| 170d | paperhandedfool | May 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,923 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 |
| 170d | Jubilant-Aggradation | April 29 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$21 −2.0% | — |
| 170d | Ordon2 fills | April 29 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,716 | +$105 +2.2% | 20 |
| 170d | Ordon | April 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,149 | +$42 +1.0% | 20 |
| 170d | bear-bees | April 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,576 | +$36 +1.0% | 20 |
| 170d | BABELCONSTEL | May 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$12 +0.6% | 20 |
| 170d | Pondermint3 fills | May 15 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,392 | +$272 +6.2% | 20 |
| 170d | MTD | April 29 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$31 +2.6% | 20 |
| 170d | unwillingly-public | April 29 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,096 | +$124 +2.0% | 20 |
| 170d | unwillingly-public | April 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 170d | Mine-Carrying-Dolphin | May 15 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,490 | −$33 −0.9% | — |
| 170d |  Cungly2 fills | April 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,930 | +$70 +1.0% | 20 |
| 170d | Parlayer | April 29 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$21 +2.0% | 20 |
| 170d | Mine-Carrying-Dolphin2 fills | April 29 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $14,650 | +$350 +2.4% | 20 |
| 171d |  pepess | May 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 171d |  VoidEclipse3 fills | April 29 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,025 | +$427 +4.3% | 20 |
| 171d | Cungly2 fills | May 15 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,529 | +$156 +4.4% | 20 |
| 171d | Mine-Carrying-Dolphin | May 15 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,418 | +$106 +3.1% | 20 |
| 171d |  tetrose2 fills | April 29 | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,099 | −$1,518 −37% | — |
| 171d | Cungly2 fills | April 29 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $5,625 | −$846 −15% | — |
| 171d |  Contentious-Dinnerdate | April 29 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,959 | −$156 −5.3% | — |
| 171d | Melody626 | April 29 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | +$140 +11% | 20 |
| 171d | BennyHop | April 29 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,129 | +$526 +17% | 20 |
| 171d | 83CAAA2 fills | May 15 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$376 +7.5% | 20 |
| 171d |  SwampDust | April 29 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,459 | −$1,227 −35% | — |
| 171d | Bamsauce8833 | April 29 | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,216 | −$1,216 −100% | 21 |
| 171d | Bland-GreyNew account | April 29 | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,196 | −$1,196 −100% | 36 |
| 171d | Dymaknight | April 29 | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $6,097 | −$1,903 −31% | — |
| 171d | SwampDust | April 29 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$335 +8.6% | 20 |
| 171d | IJaSI | April 30 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$121 +8.4% | 22 |
| 171d |  tupac84 fills | April 29 | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $6,461 | −$6,461 −100% | 27 |
| 171d |  PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | April 29 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | −$500 −25% | — |
| 171d |  Freem05 | April 29 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 21 |
| 171d |  GoriIIa | May 15 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,539 | +$189 +4.2% | 20 |
| 171d | PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | April 30 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | +$127 +7.7% | 22 |
| 171d | Shark13 | April 29 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,795 | +$690 +14% | 20 |
| 171d |  dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider | May 15 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,039 | −$178 −8.7% | — |
| 171d |  iForgor | April 30 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$465 +28% | 26 |
| 171d |  monstur | May 15 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $10,605 | +$925 +8.7% | 20 |
| 171d | BennyHop | May 15 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$210 +19% | 20 |
| 171d | dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider | May 15 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$265 +18% | 20 |
| 171d |  starbuck02 | May 15 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$320 +19% | 20 |
| 171d | starbuck02 | April 29 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$610 +49% | 20 |
| 171d | WynnWaldorf | May 15 | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 171d | 0x3ad1…bc76 | April 29 | SellNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,955 | +$1,955 +100% | — |
| 171d | illegible-text | May 15 | SellNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,486 | +$1,486 +100% | — |
| 171d | illegible-text | May 15 | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI Director James Comey is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 29 means the market gives it about 100%.