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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 854d | professorx | Judge launches investigation into facebook comment? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,776 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 854d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Judge launches investigation into facebook comment? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,169 | +$401 +7.8% | 20 |
On June 7 it was reported a person posted the comment “My cousin is a juror and says Trump is getting convicted” a day before the conviction (see https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/judge-trumps-hush-money-case-raises-questions-social-media-post-appear-rcna156128). This market will resolve to "Yes" if a formal investigation into the posted Facebook comment is announced by June 14, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The formal investigation must be from the the Judge or his office/representatives. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.