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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 100% | +91 pts | +85 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | +63 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,278 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 376d | Skaliz | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$13 +1.1% | 20 |
| 376d |  SemyonMarmeladov | October 31 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$357 +36% | 20 |
| 377d |  scottilicious | October 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $1,536 | −$1,536 −100% | 20 |
| 401d |  Vanquish | October 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,292 | −$1,292 −100% | 20 |
Schwinning405 sharesOn September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between September 9 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 100%.