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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45-50% | 100% | +53 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <35% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35-40% | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-45% | 0% | −4 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-55% | 0% | −43 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 55-60% | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-65% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65%+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500d | peaceful2029 | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $15,607 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | unsunghero | 50-55% | SellNo>99¢ | $15,916 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | onthebch | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $6,231 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | LOWRISKHIGHRETURN | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,838 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | mryy | 50-55% | SellNo>99¢ | $20,914 | −$32 −0.2% | — |
| 500d | tyyyyyy | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $12,987 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | Agonizing-Freight | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,403 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | 45-50% | BuyYes>99¢ | $86,176 | +$86 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 500d | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $2,879 | −$6 −0.2% | — | |
| 500d | WINTER | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $2,126 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 500d | Mmorning1 | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $6,492 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 500d | Dndndk | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,759 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 500d | 123asdf235 | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,359 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | Sangyong | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,537 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | ihatelee | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,326 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | Banditoes | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,116 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | chuchulong3 fills | 45-50% | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,601 | +$25 +0.1% | 10 |
| 500d | KIKIKI | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,405 | −$17 −0.7% | — |
| 500d | Moongod | 50-55% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,854 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $36,394 | −$257 −0.7% | — | |
| 500d | Dobbypark | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 500d | Classica | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 500d | yanagi | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,779 | −$44 −0.8% | — |
| 500d | shsyw2 | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,691 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 500d | HLB-3772 fills | 50-55% | SellNo>99¢ | $11,109 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | nndmg | 40-45% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,552 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | noeuroari | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,268 | −$21 −0.9% | — |
| 500d | Randomwalk-1742 fills | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $47,064 | −$299 −0.6% | — |
| 500d | MaxHippo2 fills | 45-50% | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,508 | +$21 +0.5% | 10 |
| 500d | paka9999 | 50-55% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,272 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | Kimmmm-942 | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,949 | −$79 −1.3% | — |
| 500d | 45-50% | BuyYes>99¢ | $39,926 | +$158 +0.4% | 10 | |
| 500d | 45-50% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,456 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 500d | Qtyu2 fills | 45-50% | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,697 | +$18 +0.4% | 10 |
| 500d | 0xafEe2 | 45-50% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,017 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 500d | IlIlIlIlIIlIlIl2 fills | 45-50% | BuyYes>99¢ | $126,544 | +$280 +0.2% | 10 |
| 500d | 50-55% | SellNo>99¢ | $37,808 | −$114 −0.3% | — | |
| 500d | Theone0821 | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,560 | −$42 −0.6% | — |
| 500d | P1kaso | 45-50% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,903 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 500d | Goguma123 | 45-50% | SellYes100¢ | $1,758 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 500d | erick2 | 45-50% | SellYes100¢ | $1,009 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 500d | 45-50% | SellYes100¢ | $4,739 | −$24 −0.5% | — | |
| 500d | 45-50% | SellYes>99¢ | $4,173 | −$18 −0.4% | — | |
| 500d | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$8 −0.8% | — | |
| 500d | 45-50% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,020 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 500d | ananab | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,934 | −$94 −0.9% | — |
| 500d | 45-50% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $30,222 | +$276 +0.9% | 10 | |
| 500d | MetaVoter | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,774 | −$26 −0.9% | — |
| 500d | ilikebooties12 | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $18,352 | −$180 −1.0% | — |
| 500d | wokerjoesleeper | 50-55% | BuyNo100¢ | $1,562 | +$8 +0.5% | 10 |
| 500d | esac3 fills | 45-50% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,210 | +$280 +2.1% | 10 |
| 500d | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $27,821 | −$245 −0.9% | — | |
| 500d | Radahn-131 | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,952 | −$78 −0.7% | — |
| 500d | motomotomotomoto | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,224 | −$19 −0.6% | — |
| 500d | xSanctuary | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,028 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 500d | Daring-Labourer | 45-50% | SellYes100¢ | $23,264 | −$117 −0.5% | — |
| 500d | 45-50% | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $18,928 | +$872 +4.6% | 10 | |
| 500d | Wongwei2 fills | 45-50% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $31,963 | +$177 +0.6% | 10 |
| 500d | 45-50% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$7 +0.6% | 10 | |
| 500d | Ronaldo21002 fills | 45-50% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,519 | −$30 −0.7% | — |
The 2025 South Korean presidential election will be held on June 3 to elect the next President of the Republic of Korea. This market will resolve according to the popular vote share won by Lee Jae-myung. If Lee Jae-myung does not participate in the election for any reason this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count published by the National Election Commission of South Korea (https://www.nec.go.kr/engvote/main.jsp).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 45-50% means the market gives it about 100%.