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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49-51% | 100% | +60 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <45% | 0% | −3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 45-47% | 0% | −6 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 47-49% | 0% | −26 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 51-53% | 0% | −17 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 53-55% | 0% | −10 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >55% | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500d | Jerry4242 | 49-51% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,011 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | FreedomGundam | 49-51% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,991 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 500d | LIMEY | 49-51% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,105 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 500d | 0x7d17741e8bF | 49-51% | SellYes>99¢ | $7,734 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | MaxHippo | 49-51% | SellYes100¢ | $2,506 | −$13 −0.5% | — |
| 500d | P1kaso3 fills | 49-51% | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,765 | +$22 +0.2% | 10 |
| 500d | P1kaso2 fills | 53-55% | SellNo>99¢ | $6,817 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | MaxHippo | 49-51% | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,422 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 500d |  0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A0143 fills | 49-51% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $23,069 | +$152 +0.7% | 10 |
| 500d |  Flipadelphia | 49-51% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,231 | +$33 +1.0% | 10 |
| 500d | user588436 | 49-51% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$18 −1.5% | — |
| 500d | slamjampeter | 49-51% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,652 | −$15 −0.9% | — |
| 500d | P1kaso | 47-49% | BuyNo100¢ | $2,985 | +$15 +0.5% | 10 |
| 500d |  EvilMMMMMorty | 47-49% | BuyNo100¢ | $2,388 | +$12 +0.5% | 10 |
| 500d |  Ricds | 49-51% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | −$24 −1.4% | — |
| 500d | killiann | 49-51% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$18 −1.5% | — |
| 500d | yjcr2 fills | 47-49% | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $17,323 | +$809 +4.7% | 10 |
| 500d | Markable8 | 49-51% | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,354 | +$80 +0.5% | 10 |
| 500d | 0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | 47-49% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,874 | +$27 +1.4% | 10 |
| 500d |  mr.ozi | 47-49% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,643 | +$236 +3.1% | 10 |
| 500d | user5884362 fills | 47-49% | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,243 | +$453 +11% | 13 |
| 500d |  sportsgaza | 49-51% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,824 | −$56 −3.1% | — |
| 500d | hindu15 fills | 49-51% | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $66,334 | +$13,752 +21% | 10 |
| 500d |  BenjarninNetanyahu3 fills | 49-51% | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $10,236 | +$3,142 +31% | 10 |
| 500d | rdwyegb4 fills | 49-51% | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $6,320 | −$1,467 −23% | — |
| 500d | yjcr | 49-51% | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,143 | +$383 +6.2% | 10 |
| 500d |  HolyMoses73 fills | 47-49% | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $5,213 | +$1,898 +36% | 10 |
| 500d | POTUSby | 49-51% | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,118 | +$249 +3.5% | 10 |
| 500d | Abadtaste | 49-51% | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $22,958 | +$1,143 +5.0% | 10 |
| 500d | cigarettes3 fills | 47-49% | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $13,613 | +$5,637 +41% | 10 |
| 500d | Rich-Deodorant | 49-51% | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,428 | +$804 +23% | 10 |
| 500d |  MANG-E | 49-51% | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,136 | +$590 +19% | 10 |
| 500d | lava-lava2 fills | 49-51% | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $5,548 | +$2,225 +40% | 10 |
| 500d | mr.ozi | 49-51% | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $8,425 | +$3,611 +43% | 10 |
| 500d | rdwyegb | 47-49% | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,178 | +$1,178 +100% | — |
| 500d | rdwyegb | 47-49% | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,432 | −$1,432 −100% | 11 |
| 500d | penguuuin | 49-51% | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,709 | −$1,709 −100% | 11 |
| 500d | mr.ozi2 fills | 47-49% | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $5,051 | +$5,051 +100% | — |
| 500d | cnfiguridofjnfke | 49-51% | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $7,729 | +$4,159 +54% | 10 |
| 500d | nftholy | 47-49% | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $3,022 | −$1,978 −65% | — |
| 500d | BenjarninNetanyahu2 fills | 47-49% | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $12,040 | +$2,107 +17% | 10 |
| 500d | Justintintintintin2 fills | 47-49% | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $3,126 | +$3,126 +100% | — |
| 500d |  SnakeMaster3 | 47-49% | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 11 |
| 500d | only | 49-51% | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,868 | −$801 −43% | — |
| 500d |  ms.. | 47-49% | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $3,323 | −$1,660 −50% | — |
| 500d |  FrancisSP8 | 47-49% | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | +$354 +28% | 10 |
| 500d |  Naichli | 47-49% | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | −$293 −23% | — |
| 500d | Justintintintintin | 47-49% | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,033 | −$1,033 −100% | 10 |
| 500d | FrancisSP84 fills | 49-51% | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $7,266 | −$7,266 −100% | 10 |
| 500d |  yippy2 fills | 47-49% | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $5,850 | −$5,850 −100% | 11 |
| 500d | Katago | 49-51% | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,630 | −$603 −37% | — |
| 500d | POTUSby | 53-55% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,277 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | ms.. | 47-49% | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,384 | +$1,470 +43% | 10 |
| 500d | Naichli | 47-49% | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,751 | +$1,430 +52% | 10 |
| 500d | hisplan7 fills | 47-49% | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $41,325 | −$41,325 −100% | 10 |
| 500d | only | 49-51% | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$1,068 +67% | 10 |
| 500d | Markable82 fills | 47-49% | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $35,000 | −$35,000 −100% | 10 |
| 500d | Naichli2 fills | 49-51% | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $3,642 | −$3,642 −100% | 10 |
| 500d | ms.. | 49-51% | SellYes40¢ → 100¢ | $3,469 | −$5,203 −150% | — |
| 500d |  N1KOLAI5 | 49-51% | SellYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,687 | −$2,530 −150% | — |
he 2025 South Korean presidential election will be held on June 3, to elect the next President of the Republic of Korea. This market will resolve according to the popular vote share won by Lee Jae-myung. If Lee Jae-myung does not participate in the election for any reason this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count published by the National Election Commission of South Korea (https://www.nec.go.kr/engvote/main.jsp).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 49-51% means the market gives it about 100%.