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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $2B | 0% | −37 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3B | 0% | −10 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4B | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401d |  .ethguy | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,555 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 401d |  LINKEIN | $4B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,677 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 401d | Smurfcat | $1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 401d | Smurfcat | $3B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 401d |  qingping | $4B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,774 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 401d |  Justin7. | $2B | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$57 +4.4% | 2 |
| 401d | babo959 | $1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,880 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 402d |  0xdc3E831cad | $1B | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,752 | −$53 −1.9% | — |
| 402d | 0xdc3E831cad | $1B | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$33 +2.6% | 2 |
| 403d |  KKchallenge | $4B | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,277 | +$225 +9.9% | 2 |
| 404d |  Burnmoneyuser | $1B | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,234 | +$57 +2.6% | 2 |
| 404d |  Infringe | $1B | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | +$38 +3.1% | 2 |
| 406d | gydmasg | $4B | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$300 +11% | 2 |
| 407d | Exitliquid2069 | $3B | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$1,047 +28% | 2 |
bombo2,345 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Linea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Linea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $1B means the market gives it about 100%.