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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LCK (South Korea) | 100% | +58 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| LPL (China) | 0% | −59 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| LEC (Europe / EMEA) | 0% | −7 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| LCP (Asia-Pacific) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| LCS (North America) | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CBLOL (Brazil) | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Will a team from another region win MSI 2026? | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97d | Nicksypoo | LPL (China) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | dapanda | LCK (South Korea) | SellYes>99¢ | $4,630 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | LCK (South Korea) | SellYes>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 97d | bin74848484848 | LCK (South Korea) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$11 +1.1% | 4 |
| 97d | ZHOU-RUNFA- | LPL (China) | SellYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,053 | +$1,053 +100% | — |
| 97d | Iyounger7 | LPL (China) | SellYes77¢ → 0¢ | $5,680 | +$5,680 +100% | — |
| 97d | LPL (China) | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $2,565 | −$2,565 −100% | 4 | |
| 97d | BrandyDeng | LPL (China) | SellYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,052 | +$1,052 +100% | — |
| 98d | LPL (China) | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $6,544 | −$6,544 −100% | 12 | |
| 98d | suntori | LPL (China) | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $2,928 | −$2,928 −100% | 12 |
| 98d | Experienced-Attic-Ozone | LPL (China) | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 12 |
| 98d | Neverlander | LPL (China) | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 98d | TAIWANNUMBERONE | LCK (South Korea) | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $2,455 | +$3,000 +122% | 12 |
| 98d | TAIWANNUMBERONE2 fills | LPL (China) | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $6,699 | +$7,866 +117% | 12 |
| 98d | Noteagle | LCS (North America) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,125 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 98d | LCK (South Korea) | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $2,426 | −$2,426 −100% | 12 | |
| 98d | LCK (South Korea) | SellYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | −$1,938 −178% | — | |
| 98d | LPL (China) | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $7,298 | +$9,288 +127% | 12 | |
| 99d | LEC (Europe / EMEA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $380,646 | +$381 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 99d | LEC (Europe / EMEA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,960 | +$40 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 99d | LEC (Europe / EMEA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $167,114 | +$202 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 99d | 999ssf2 fills | LEC (Europe / EMEA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $47,652 | +$48 +0.1% | 4 |
| 99d | trashtier | LEC (Europe / EMEA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 99d | LPL (China) | SellNo39¢ → 100¢ | $1,888 | −$2,943 −156% | — | |
| 100d | LCK (South Korea) | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $5,953 | +$8,929 +150% | 9 | |
| 100d | LPL (China) | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $3,104 | +$1,727 +56% | 9 | |
| 100d | -Guapo-- | LCK (South Korea) | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | −$1,260 −100% | 6 |
| 100d | moshinfu | LCK (South Korea) | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$1,461 +74% | 6 |
| 101d | Thick-President | LCK (South Korea) | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,458 | −$1,156 −47% | — |
| 102d | ndjejen | LCK (South Korea) | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | −$446 −44% | — |
| 104d | Thick-President2 fills | LCK (South Korea) | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,050 | +$1,331 +44% | 4 |
| 104d | LEC (Europe / EMEA) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | +$26 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 104d | LPL (China) | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$771 +49% | 6 | |
| 105d | 999ssf | CBLOL (Brazil) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,687 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 106d | LCK (South Korea) | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$778 +47% | 4 | |
| 107d | 7ViziCapitale | LCK (South Korea) | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,610 | −$758 −47% | — |
| 107d | LCK (South Korea) | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $13,077 | +$7,080 +54% | 4 | |
| 108d | johndegen8 fills | LCK (South Korea) | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $18,874 | +$9,425 +50% | 4 |
| 108d | Nicksypoo2 fills | LPL (China) | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,766 | +$1,247 +45% | 4 |
| 108d | Wobbly-Epithelium3 fills | LCK (South Korea) | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $11,516 | −$8,167 −71% | — |
| 108d | quaing | LCK (South Korea) | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,451 | −$1,049 −72% | — |
| 108d | johndegen | LCK (South Korea) | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $15,443 | −$8,671 −56% | — |
| 109d | Immediate-Hip | LCK (South Korea) | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $9,088 | −$4,756 −52% | — |
| 110d | quaing | LCK (South Korea) | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$850 +52% | 4 |
| 111d | Nicksypoo | LCK (South Korea) | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,098 | +$1,098 +100% | — |
| 111d | Fatal-Publisher2 fills | LPL (China) | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $3,980 | −$3,980 −100% | 4 |
| 112d | LCP (Asia-Pacific) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 113d | Wobbly-Epithelium | LPL (China) | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,217 | +$1,217 +100% | — |
| 113d | donthackme8 fills | CBLOL (Brazil) | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,969 | +$31 +0.3% | 4 |
| 113d | donthackme8 fills | LCP (Asia-Pacific) | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,977 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d | donthackme9 fills | LCS (North America) | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,221 | +$40 +0.4% | 4 |
| 115d | donthackme8 fills | LEC (Europe / EMEA) | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,747 | +$440 +4.5% | 4 |
| 115d | e46m32 fills | LEC (Europe / EMEA) | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,095 | +$129 +4.2% | 4 |
| 115d | e46m32 fills | LPL (China) | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,322 | +$903 +39% | 4 |
| 115d | Bigggggggg | LCP (Asia-Pacific) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,328 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 115d | Bigggggggg | LCS (North America) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,328 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 115d | Bigggggggg | LEC (Europe / EMEA) | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | +$53 +4.2% | 4 |
| 115d | Bigggggggg | CBLOL (Brazil) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,327 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 117d | Ill-Mind | LCK (South Korea) | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $5,748 | +$3,234 +56% | 4 |
| 123d | LPL (China) | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 26 - July 12, 2026. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used. Regions counted in MSI 2026: - LCK (South Korea) - LPL (China) - LEC (Europe / EMEA) - LCP (Asia-Pacific) - LCS (North America) - CBLOL (Brazil)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for LCK (South Korea) means the market gives it about 100%.