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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| December 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| June 30 | 100% | +1 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156d |  Chims | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 156d | Chims | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,212 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 157d | Chims | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,408 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 157d |  TheAugur | December 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$53 +3.8% | 20 |
| 218d |  WarriorPooh | April 30 | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $5,395 | −$5,395 −100% | 20 |
If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for April 30 means the market gives it about 0%.