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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$400M | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $400-600M | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $600-800M | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $800M-1B | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1-1.2B | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1.2-1.4B | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1.4-1.6B | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1.6-1.8B | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1.8-2B | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$2B | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328d | hackisamaze | <$400M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,484 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 328d | hack13 | <$400M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,049 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 328d | Gentle-Connection | <$400M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,360 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 328d | <$400M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,805 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 328d | Dreamxbt | <$400M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,997 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 328d | HEYLD2 fills | <$400M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,753 | +$321 +12% | 2 |
| 328d | <$400M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,992 | −$8 −0.2% | — | |
| 328d | fewaf | $600-800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,379 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 328d | opensssaz | $800M-1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,315 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 328d | <$400M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,842 | −$16 −0.9% | — | |
| 328d | <$400M | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,670 | +$64 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 328d | wedemboiz | >$2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,694 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 328d | >$2B | SellNo>99¢ | $32,579 | −$79 −0.2% | — | |
| 328d | <$400M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $16,295 | +$483 +3.0% | 2 | |
| 328d | $1-1.2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,928 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 328d | BIBEW LIMIT TEST | <$400M | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,000 | +$45 +0.4% | 2 |
| 328d | $1.8-2B | SellNo>99¢ | $9,976 | −$24 −0.2% | — | |
| 328d | $1.6-1.8B | SellNo>99¢ | $9,698 | −$14 −0.1% | — | |
| 328d | $1.4-1.6B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 328d | 12311231234 fills | <$400M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $14,459 | +$269 +1.9% | 2 |
| 328d | albotwl | <$400M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,675 | −$106 −2.9% | — |
| 328d | HEYLD | <$400M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,459 | −$51 −3.5% | — |
| 328d | <$400M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$43 +3.2% | 2 | |
| 329d | <$400M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $9,241 | +$459 +5.0% | 2 | |
| 329d | <$400M | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | −$368 −6.2% | — | |
| 329d | yieldfarmer | <$400M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$80 +5.3% | 2 |
| 329d | snowmann | <$400M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | +$125 +5.3% | 2 |
| 329d | <$400M | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$67 −6.2% | — | |
| 329d | zelenskyyworeasuit2 fills | <$400M | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $12,451 | −$1,891 −15% | — |
| 329d | llllllI3 fills | <$400M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $13,968 | +$692 +5.0% | 2 |
| 329d | duzou- | >$2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 329d | <$400M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$79 +5.3% | 2 | |
| 329d | <$400M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$68 +6.4% | 2 | |
| 329d | RevealGuess | <$400M | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | −$188 −7.5% | — |
| 329d | llllllI | $600-800M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$33 +0.7% | 2 |
| 329d | Knowyourball | <$400M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$105 +5.3% | 2 |
| 329d | Hpp3 | <$400M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 2 |
| 329d | joyjoyjoyz | <$400M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,495 | +$143 +5.7% | 2 |
| 329d | haeju | <$400M | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,323 | +$175 +7.5% | 2 |
| 329d | RevealGuess | <$400M | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,159 | +$188 +8.7% | 2 |
| 329d | untaken | $1.6-1.8B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,594 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 329d | untaken | $1.8-2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,185 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 329d | EddyNock | <$400M | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | +$163 +9.9% | 2 |
| 329d | juice001 | <$400M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$149 +11% | 2 |
| 329d | >$2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,974 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 329d | zelenskyyworeasuit2 fills | <$400M | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $11,147 | +$1,446 +13% | 2 |
| 329d | zelenskyyworeasuit | $400-600M | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $5,453 | −$1,042 −19% | — |
| 329d | zelenskyyworeasuit | $400-600M | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$724 +12% | 2 |
| 329d | Dreamxbt | <$400M | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$240 +14% | 2 |
| 330d | <$400M | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | −$264 −14% | — | |
| 330d | jessicaharris | <$400M | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | −$171 −14% | — |
| 330d | $800M-1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | +$23 +1.2% | 2 | |
| 330d | $400-600M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,868 | +$119 +6.4% | 2 | |
| 330d | Hilarious-Pound | <$400M | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,242 | −$1,242 −100% | 3 |
| 330d | <$400M | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$303 +25% | 2 | |
| 330d | $1.2-1.4B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,129 | +$48 +1.2% | 2 | |
| 330d | $1.6-1.8B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,163 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 330d | $800M-1B | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,012 | +$165 +4.1% | 2 | |
| 330d | cigarettes | $1-1.2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,745 | +$15 +0.4% | 2 |
| 330d | <$400M | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $4,575 | +$1,445 +32% | 2 |
This market will resolve according to the total commitments for the Monad raise on Coinbase. The resolution source is the "Total requested" value displayed on the Coinbase raise page available at https://www.coinbase.com/token-sales/monad. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <$400M means the market gives it about 100%.