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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 336d |  bamesjond2 fills | NASA Escapade launch by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,358 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 337d | 0x6688a1a91697cbafdcdf893c25e2273ab6db67cd | NASA Escapade launch by December 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,054 | +$91 +1.0% | 20 |
coxoo.eth200 sharesIf any rocket carrying the ESCAPADE mission spacecraft successfully launches from its launchpad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM EST, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/NASA), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the market outcome. Any name change of the spacecraft will have no bearing on the market outcome.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.