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Polymarket wallet 0xec1f6d433c37421963ba00cc07d55b40647a489c · on Polymarket since Dec 14, 2024 · also shown as Sophisticated-Arm
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Rivnopillia by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.3% |
| NASA Escapade launch by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will between 215 and 216 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Harvard international students ban ended before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 25 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.