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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 15 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 10 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  ZhangMuZhi- | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,330 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 293d |  GollumGekko | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,097 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 349d |  Crypto-Dawg | December 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,040 | +$225 +3.2% | 4 |
| 361d |  NoClueAtAll | December 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,606 | +$94 +5.9% | 4 |
| 362d |  Arlette | December 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,022 | +$178 +8.8% | 4 |
| 397d | Arlette2 fills | September 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,251 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 400d | Arlette | September 15 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,906 | −$104 −1.3% | — |
| 402d |  dooby | September 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,688 | +$29 +0.3% | 4 |
| 402d | Arlette | September 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,449 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 402d | dooby | September 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,357 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 406d |  HappyBear | September 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 0%.