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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AfD | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FDP | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CDU/CSU | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BSW | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Left | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greens | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SPD | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 528d | ChuckRock | Greens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 528d |  EA-SY10 fills | AfD | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $32,895 | −$301 −0.9% | — |
| 529d | LG99 | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $1,699 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 529d |  HNIC | Greens | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,983 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 529d | HNIC | FDP | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,333 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 529d |  Flipadelphia4 fills | SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $40,719 | +$98 +0.2% | 4 |
| 529d | 15cmMonster4 fills | BSW | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,513 | +$67 +0.2% | 4 |
| 529d | HNIC | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,408 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 529d |  mombil | SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,437 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 529d |  occasionalAwareness | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,984 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 529d | HNIC | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,246 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 529d | HNIC | SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,406 | +$27 +0.4% | 4 |
| 529d | EA-SY5 fills | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,133 | +$79 +0.5% | 4 |
| 529d |  GollumGekko | SPD | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,917 | −$33 −1.7% | — |
| 529d | rbczz6 fills | AfD | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $76,380 | +$1,673 +2.2% | 4 |
| 529d |  QuteAnon | AfD | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,757 | −$16 −0.9% | — |
| 529d | occasionalAwareness2 fills | AfD | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $42,870 | −$272 −0.6% | — |
| 529d | Buttermilk1 | FDP | SellNo>99¢ | $1,203 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 529d | Flipadelphia4 fills | CDU/CSU | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $52,917 | +$624 +1.2% | 4 |
| 529d |  ScottyNooo | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,549 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 529d | ScottyNooo | SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $36,456 | +$65 +0.2% | 4 |
| 529d | EA-SY3 fills | SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,412 | +$38 +0.2% | 4 |
| 529d | crosley | FDP | SellNo>99¢ | $1,577 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 529d | Flipadelphia | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,948 | +$27 +0.1% | 4 |
| 529d | Flipadelphia | The Left | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,977 | +$23 +0.1% | 4 |
| 530d |  ScamWick | SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 530d | Got2Luvya | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,199 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 530d | noslajre | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $3,501 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 530d | ScamWick2 fills | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,474 | +$37 +0.2% | 4 |
| 531d | ScamWick2 fills | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,104 | +$67 +0.2% | 4 |
| 531d | ScamWick2 fills | Greens | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,598 | +$57 +0.2% | 4 |
| 531d | lowrisk24 | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $1,963 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 531d | ScamWick3 fills | The Left | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,472 | +$36 +0.3% | 4 |
| 531d | dalwick | The Left | SellNo>99¢ | $1,057 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 531d | laflamablanca | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 532d | dalwick | The Left | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,058 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 532d |  Mr.Eggplant2 fills | AfD | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,511 | +$131 +1.4% | 4 |
| 532d | ElioRogue | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $1,355 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 532d |  debased | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $4,693 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 532d | ElioRogue | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,357 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 533d | ScamWick2 fills | FDP | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,338 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 533d | crosley | FDP | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,578 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 533d | gallaway | The Left | SellNo>99¢ | $2,413 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 533d | gallaway | The Left | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,415 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 534d | J-E-R | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 534d | cryptoaxel3 fills | SPD | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $71,978 | +$397 +0.6% | 4 |
| 534d | RafaelWarp | BSW | SellNo>99¢ | $1,884 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 534d | RafaelWarp | BSW | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,886 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 534d |  Parz1vaI5 fills | AfD | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,231 | −$134 −0.8% | — |
| 534d | wubddh | SPD | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 534d |  Tenebrus7 | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,278 | +$40 +0.3% | 4 |
| 535d | PaoloEpic | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $1,135 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 535d | PaoloEpic | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,137 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 535d | GreedyCat | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,771 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 535d | GreedyCat | SPD | SellYes>99¢ | $3,045 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 535d | occasionalAwareness2 fills | AfD | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,834 | +$166 +0.9% | 4 |
| 535d | occasionalAwareness2 fills | BSW | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,879 | +$65 +0.4% | 4 |
| 535d | poligott | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,529 | +$34 +0.2% | 4 |
| 535d |  bosshog16 fills | AfD | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $54,735 | +$825 +1.5% | 4 |
| 535d | bosshog2 fills | Greens | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,143 | +$28 +0.7% | 4 |
b4ll41 sharesThis is a market on predicting the parties that will be included in the next German government.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for AfD means the market gives it about 0%.