| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 26,946 | 50¢ → 64¢ | $17,111 | +$3,638 +27% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 27,224 | 50¢ → 37¢ | $9,937 | −$3,638 −27% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,000 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $3,620 | +$320 +9.7% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,111 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $1,085 | +$96 +9.7% |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 333 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $322 | +$22 +7.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,331 | 4¢ → 8¢ | $265 | +$143 +117% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,365 | 40¢ → 14¢ | $184 | −$365 −66% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,020 | 43¢ → 12¢ | $117 | −$321 −73% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,523 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $114 | −$194 −63% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,293 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $63 | +$10 +20% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 76¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$9 +29% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 22¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$6 −91% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 257 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −88% |
| Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 232 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 343 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 207 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 368 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,481 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$176 −100% |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 222 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 777 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$270 −100% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 533 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 777 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$462 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 644 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$187 −100% |
| Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 261 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 777 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 473 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,622 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$422 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 104 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 164 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,221 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 555 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 888 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| Will Alexei Gorinov win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 776 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 799 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$634 −100% |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 810 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 908 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 106 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 333 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$190 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 555 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$258 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,998 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,512 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 521 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Assad leaves Russia before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 390 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the European Union win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,111 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,095 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$668 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 458 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$178 −100% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 317 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Chow Hang‑tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 480 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 51 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 168 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$93 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 467 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$288 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Keir Starmer win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Zuriel Oduwole win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,032 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 333 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 428 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 232 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,999 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$93 −100% |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 111 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 133 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |