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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 442d | hindu2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,630 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 442d | guacamole | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,001 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 442d | Jerzy | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 442d | esac2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,897 | +$65 +0.8% | 20 |
| 442d |  roadmapper2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,279 | +$74 +0.6% | 20 |
| 442d | 854A7843 | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,299 | +$58 +0.7% | 20 |
| 442d |  scottilicious | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,122 | +$107 +0.7% | 20 |
| 442d | exposito2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,110 | +$173 +0.9% | 20 |
| 443d | Cover | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 443d |  O3O.legacy.0 | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,392 | +$31 +0.9% | 20 |
| 443d |  k7X9mP2qW42 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,248 | +$30 +0.9% | 20 |
| 443d | nonkenny902 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,939 | +$61 +1.0% | 20 |
| 443d | scuf | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,005 | −$57 −1.9% | — |
| 443d |  khatai | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,858 | −$32 −1.7% | — |
| 443d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,776 | +$14 +0.5% | 20 |
| 444d | scuf | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$62 +2.1% | 21 |
| 444d | k7X9mP2qW43 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,915 | −$435 −11% | — |
| 444d |  Car3 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,105 | +$304 +5.9% | 20 |
| 444d |  ondra1234 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,500 | +$666 +5.8% | 20 |
| 445d | slifsh | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,261 | −$130 −3.0% | — |
| 445d | affs207912 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,552 | −$622 −14% | — |
| 445d |  Dumbeldor20035 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,647 | −$770 −10% | — |
| 447d |  just.some.guy | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,858 | +$65 +1.7% | 20 |
| 448d | Dumbeldor20033 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $16,955 | +$780 +4.6% | 20 |
| 448d |  FrancisSP8 | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$34 +3.1% | 20 |
| 448d | lowrisk242 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,779 | +$132 +3.5% | 20 |
| 448d | slamjampeter | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,426 | +$46 +3.2% | 20 |
| 451d |  FATMAN | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | −$170 −9.6% | — |
| 451d |  MisTKy32 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,262 | −$328 −15% | — |
| 454d |  pup1 | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | −$75 −5.3% | — |
| 456d |  nnimrodd2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,729 | −$570 −21% | — |
| 456d | slifsh | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,101 | +$289 +7.0% | 20 |
| 458d | MisTKy3 | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$128 +11% | 20 |
| 458d |  VPutin2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,298 | −$453 −11% | — |
| 458d | FATMAN | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$113 +11% | 20 |
| 459d | prime770 | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,876 | −$508 −18% | — |
| 459d | prime770 | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$445 +15% | 20 |
| 459d |  SteamRollerPennies2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,182 | +$1,281 +25% | 20 |
| 460d | PBnJ | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 463d | BetZilla | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$967 +19% | 20 |
| 464d |  png10243 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $12,731 | −$2,940 −23% | — |
| 464d | Mikedt | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $3,700 | −$3,700 −100% | 28 |
| 464d | denizz | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $2,125 | −$2,125 −100% | 25 |
| 465d | affs207913 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,632 | +$897 +19% | 20 |
| 465d |  betwick | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,812 | −$697 −25% | — |
| 465d | denizz | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $3,447 | −$751 −22% | — |
| 466d | amused85 | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,443 | −$550 −22% | — |
| 467d | 0x06d00e6307b288427c8e32e146b602e1a58a254f | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 22 |
| 468d | Saltyballs | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,155 | −$428 −20% | — |
| 468d | VPutin | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $7,157 | +$1,152 +16% | 20 |
| 469d | Gameron2343 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $8,419 | −$2,594 −31% | — |
| 470d |  mr.ozi | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | −$298 −18% | — |
| 470d | arabslayer | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,161 | +$1,161 +100% | — |
| 471d | Fake-Phase | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,446 | +$1,446 +100% | — |
| 471d | Saltyballs | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$451 +33% | 20 |
| 472d |  MEPP | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$438 −43% | — |
| 472d | dzsibenaja | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$486 +35% | 20 |
| 472d | Fake-Phase | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 25 |
| 473d | A.M.S2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellYes29¢ → 0¢ | $2,333 | +$2,333 +100% | — |
| 475d | arabslayer | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 22 |
EternaLEnVy26,686 shares
jacobskajem57 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between July 1, and July 31, 2025, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.