| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6,500 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $6,077 | +$303 +5.2% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6,000 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $5,670 | +$230 +4.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,484 | 40¢ → 85¢ | $1,254 | +$661 +111% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,000 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $985 | +$195 +25% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 805 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $753 | +$155 +26% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,135 | 19¢ → 5¢ | $386 | −$1,182 −75% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 390 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $368 | +$59 +19% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 422 | 28¢ → 87¢ | $367 | +$248 +210% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,712 | 29¢ → 4¢ | $314 | −$2,199 −88% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $22 | −$68 −75% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3 | 34¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −88% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 32¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −90% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,800 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$345 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,084 −100% |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,547 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$183 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,512 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$717 −100% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 686 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 777 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,393 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8,282 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,102 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,103 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,840 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$903 −100% |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 173 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,575 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 381 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 508 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,765 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,150 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 555 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 750 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$210 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,600 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,001 −100% |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,900 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$208 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,626 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,178 −100% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 451 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,221 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,865 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$562 −100% |
| Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,444 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$148 −100% |
| Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,900 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$620 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| TikTok sale announced by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,747 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,196 −100% |
| Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,295 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$474 −100% |
| 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 783 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,600 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$86 −100% |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,000 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,822 −100% |
| Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 810 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$339 −100% |
| Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,742 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$454 −100% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,664 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$139 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,266 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 53 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$777 −100% |
| Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,300 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$674 −100% |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 66 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21,508 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$259 −100% |
| Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,360 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$360 −100% |
| Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,250 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$135 −100% |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,000 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,206 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,618 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,323 −100% |
| Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,571 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,500 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,948 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,306 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$640 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 950 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$264 −100% |
| China-EU trade deal before June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 948 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,254 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$372 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,250 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$135 −100% |
| Trump transgender sports ban?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,989 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$143 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| India military action against Pakistan before June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$520 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,374 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$801 −100% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,001 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,228 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,111 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,176 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$255 −100% |
