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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +86 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 571d |  Euan2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $23,619 | −$749 −3.2% | — |
| 571d |  aenews2 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $169,492 | +$170 +0.1% | 20 |
| 571d |  kickstandhater | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,366 | +$33 +0.2% | 20 |
| 571d |  Dropper2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $73,218 | +$3,039 +4.2% | 20 |
| 571d | VvVv2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,166 | +$25 +0.3% | 20 |
| 571d | rtxhjtryujiryt | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellYes>99¢ | $7,438 | −$30 −0.4% | — |
| 571d |  Mr.Eggplant3 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,092 | +$19 +0.3% | 20 |
| 571d |  Nagaremono | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,672 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 571d |  CarJunior | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 571d | Snoorrason | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,571 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 571d |  dotethguy | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,379 | +$23 +0.2% | 20 |
| 571d | longtern | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellYes>99¢ | $12,116 | −$24 −0.2% | — |
| 571d |  BigDk | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,827 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 571d |  Empanadas2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,089 | +$25 +0.4% | 20 |
| 571d | longtern | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,044 | +$28 +0.4% | 20 |
| 571d |  Naichli | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | +$15 +1.2% | 20 |
| 571d | kenkan88 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,662 | −$120 −3.3% | — |
| 571d |  Flipadelphia | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,257 | +$41 +1.2% | 20 |
| 571d |  Debosnys4 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $19,217 | +$448 +2.3% | 20 |
| 571d |  NINE-126 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,916 | −$152 −3.1% | — |
| 571d | Ordon | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,252 | +$168 +2.0% | 20 |
| 571d | rwo | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,134 | +$202 +2.2% | 20 |
| 571d |  CoffeeLover | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,485 | +$303 +2.2% | 20 |
| 571d | Euan6 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $12,531 | +$20,143 +161% | 26 |
| 571d |  Car8 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $18,662 | +$9,562 +51% | 20 |
| 571d | surf2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $4,705 | −$4,705 −100% | 20 |
| 571d |  Original-Zyn4 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $6,945 | +$10,391 +150% | 24 |
| 571d |  GayPride2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellYes33¢ → 100¢ | $2,993 | −$6,155 −206% | — |
| 571d |  MisTKy33 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $5,688 | −$5,688 −100% | 22 |
| 571d |  coby | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$2,206 +196% | 22 |
| 571d | Original-Zyn | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellNo75¢ → 0¢ | $5,250 | +$5,250 +100% | — |
| 571d | Euan3 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $4,953 | −$4,953 −100% | 20 |
| 571d | Original-Zyn2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $4,102 | −$4,102 −100% | 22 |
| 571d |  Tenebrus77 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $9,387 | −$9,387 −100% | 20 |
| 571d |  MEPP3 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $7,229 | −$7,229 −100% | 20 |
| 571d |  eCash7 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $30,529 | −$30,529 −100% | 20 |
| 571d |  peasant | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $6,368 | −$6,368 −100% | 21 |
| 571d | Idontwantausername | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $3,768 | −$3,768 −100% | 21 |
| 571d | NINE-126 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,438 | +$3,630 +252% | 23 |
| 571d | junkbonds2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $10,574 | −$10,574 −100% | 21 |
| 571d | Zarazas | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,191 | −$1,191 −100% | 21 |
| 571d |  MotherTheresa6 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellYes14¢ → 100¢ | $12,183 | −$76,992 −632% | — |
| 571d |  carney-pls-win2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellYes35¢ → 100¢ | $3,232 | −$6,039 −187% | — |
| 571d |  ScamWick5 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $7,964 | −$7,964 −100% | 20 |
| 571d |  dududududu | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellNo70¢ → 0¢ | $4,574 | +$4,574 +100% | — |
| 571d | MisTKy3 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes26¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | +$3,304 +282% | 23 |
| 571d | Crock95 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$1,900 +173% | 22 |
| 571d |  bootsofhermes6 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellNo87¢ → 0¢ | $19,932 | +$19,932 +100% | — |
| 571d | San555 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellNo86¢ → 0¢ | $1,068 | +$1,068 +100% | — |
| 571d | Car4 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $6,644 | −$6,644 −100% | 20 |
| 571d | ScamWick2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes16¢ → 100¢ | $2,951 | +$15,104 +512% | 27 |
| 572d |  OneBadBet | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | −$1,002 −100% | 20 |
| 572d |  Astera3 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $10,391 | +$10,391 +100% | — |
| 572d | TheInvincibleWallet | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,924 | +$1,924 +100% | — |
| 572d | Mrhack210291 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellNo92¢ → 0¢ | $2,260 | +$2,260 +100% | — |
| 572d | Rgbdance | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,387 | +$1,387 +100% | — |
| 572d |  gopfan22 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $6,323 | −$6,323 −100% | 20 |
| 572d | gopfan2 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellNo84¢ → 0¢ | $4,595 | +$4,595 +100% | — |
| 572d | Shikamaru.DM | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $2,541 | −$2,541 −100% | 20 |
| 572d | pvinsep | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | SellNo83¢ → 0¢ | $1,196 | +$1,196 +100% | — |
itsfine16,922 sharesbootsofhermes14,879 shares
Fartard10,500 shares
nicekitty8,718 sharespeasant8,195 shares
JODY🩸7,861 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between February 2 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian rare earth elements. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This includes, but is not limited to, agreements related to the exchange of Ukrainian rare earths for U.S. aid (military or civilian), partnerships involving rare earth metals, future rights to rare earth resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to rare earth elements. An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.