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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3% | 100% | +61 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤0.1% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.2% | 0% | −5 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.4% | 0% | −49 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ≥0.5% | 0% | −8 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358d | ≥0.5% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,008 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 358d | tonifili | 0.3% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 358d | ≥0.5% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,611 | +$53 +2.0% | 10 | |
| 358d | QMG-CORE | ≤0.1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,060 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 364d | polly152nate | ≤0.1% | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,341 | −$890 −27% | — |
| 365d | laytonkarly6766 | 0.2% | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,310 | −$129 −3.0% | — |
| 365d | zairashayna4976 | 0.2% | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,353 | −$125 −2.9% | — |
| 365d | Charley392 | 0.2% | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,296 | −$124 −2.9% | — |
| 365d | Wendi584 | 0.2% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,362 | +$98 +2.2% | 10 |
| 367d | ≥0.5% | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$262 −26% | — | |
| 374d | new2025xyz | ≥0.5% | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$197 +19% | 11 |
| 381d | Grinder123 | 0.4% | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$982 +96% | 10 |
| 388d | new2025xyz | 0.4% | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,488 | −$1,488 −100% | 10 |
| 394d | ≥0.5% | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | +$436 +32% | 10 | |
| 400d | 0.3% | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 10 | |
| 400d | 0.2% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,346 | +$21 +0.9% | 10 | |
| 400d | 0.3% | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,515 | −$1,515 −100% | 10 | |
| 400d | ≤0.1% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,355 | +$12 +0.5% | 10 | |
| 400d | 0.4% | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$876 +59% | 10 |
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in September 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 0.3% means the market gives it about 100%.