itsjustcheddar

Polymarket wallet 0x2a315a8d15cfde768bcd47ba5cacf3ef5894f2f0 · on Polymarket since Feb 2, 2025 · also shown as Cumbersome-Circulation

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $2.34K
All-time profit: +$8.48K
Volume traded: $2.81M
All-time rank: #17,041
Markets traded: 15,800
Recent hit rate: 68%34 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $2.33K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	330	22¢ → 77¢	$253	+$181 +251%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d	Yes	110	50¢ → 91¢	$100	+$45 +81%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	542	47¢ → 17¢	$92	−$162 −64%
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	70	>99¢ → >99¢	$70	+$0 +0.2%
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	70	>99¢ → >99¢	$70	+$0 +0.2%
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	70	>99¢ → >99¢	$70	+$0 +0.2%
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	70	66¢ → >99¢	$70	+$24 +51%
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	70	>99¢ → >99¢	$70	+$0 +0.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	72	50¢ → 96¢	$69	+$33 +92%
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	50	>99¢ → >99¢	$50	+$0 +0.2%
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	50	>99¢ → >99¢	$50	+$0 +0.4%
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	50	97¢ → >99¢	$50	+$2 +3.1%
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends ended	No	50	37¢ → >99¢	$50	+$32 +172%
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends ended	No	50	70¢ → 99¢	$50	+$15 +43%
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	50	93¢ → >99¢	$50	+$3 +7.5%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended	Yes	50	17¢ → 95¢	$47	+$39 +468%
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	67	50¢ → 69¢	$46	+$13 +38%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	60	50¢ → 71¢	$42	+$12 +41%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d	Yes	41	50¢ → 91¢	$37	+$17 +81%
Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	>99¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.2%
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	>99¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.1%
Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	>99¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.1%
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	90¢ → 100¢	$30	+$3 +11%
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	>99¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.2%
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	98¢ → 100¢	$30	+$1 +2.5%
Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	>99¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.1%
Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	100¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.5%
Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends ended	No	30	97¢ → >99¢	$30	+$1 +2.9%
Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends ended	No	30	95¢ → 99¢	$30	+$1 +3.9%
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	30	75¢ → 99¢	$30	+$7 +32%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	30	82¢ → 95¢	$29	+$4 +16%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	114	13¢ → 24¢	$27	+$12 +81%
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	51	64¢ → 52¢	$26	−$6 −20%
Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d	Yes	30	36¢ → 68¢	$20	+$10 +89%
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Settled - ready to redeem	No	20	91¢ → 100¢	$20	+$2 +9.3%
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Settled - ready to redeem	No	20	43¢ → 100¢	$20	+$11 +133%
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?Ends in 165d	No	20	>99¢ → >99¢	$20	+$0 +0.3%
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	52¢ → 99¢	$20	+$9 +91%
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	98¢ → 98¢	$20	−$0 −0.4%
Will MUNDO-GB  win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	96¢ → 97¢	$19	+$0 +1.5%
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	20	81¢ → 95¢	$19	+$3 +18%
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	95¢ → 95¢	$19	−$0 −0.1%
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	52¢ → 90¢	$18	+$8 +72%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	30	69¢ → 60¢	$18	−$3 −14%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	206	50¢ → 9¢	$18	−$85 −83%
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	97¢ → 78¢	$16	−$4 −20%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	30	30¢ → 41¢	$12	+$3 +35%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	No	11	91¢ → >99¢	$11	+$1 +9.5%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	No	11	80¢ → >99¢	$11	+$2 +24%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	20	36¢ → 52¢	$10	+$3 +43%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d	No	10	67¢ → >99¢	$10	+$3 +49%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d	Yes	23	50¢ → 45¢	$10	−$1 −11%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansEnds in 7d	Tampa Bay Rays	20	52¢ → 51¢	$10	−$0 −3.3%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 9?Settled - ready to redeem	No	10	>99¢ → 100¢	$10	+$0 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 9?Settled - ready to redeem	No	10	79¢ → 100¢	$10	+$2 +27%
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	10	96¢ → >99¢	$10	+$0 +4.0%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d	No	10	86¢ → >99¢	$10	+$1 +16%
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	10	94¢ → >99¢	$10	+$1 +5.7%
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 22d	Yes	30	26¢ → 33¢	$10	+$2 +27%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	20	40¢ → 50¢	$10	+$2 +24%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d	Yes	10	50¢ → 99¢	$10	+$5 +97%
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 22d	Yes	30	25¢ → 30¢	$9	+$1 +18%
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 22d	Yes	30	9¢ → 28¢	$9	+$6 +217%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d	Yes	99	0¢ → 9¢	$8	+$8 +0.0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	8	98¢ → >99¢	$8	+$0 +1.7%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	8	96¢ → >99¢	$8	+$0 +3.9%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansEnds in 7d	Cleveland Guardians	15	49¢ → 50¢	$7	+$0 +1.0%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?Ends in 2d	Yes	20	29¢ → 37¢	$7	+$2 +26%
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	180	48¢ → 4¢	$7	−$79 −92%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	10	36¢ → 72¢	$7	+$4 +99%
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d	No	7	98¢ → 98¢	$7	+$0 +0.7%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d	No	10	26¢ → 64¢	$6	+$4 +144%
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d	No	7	90¢ → 94¢	$6	+$0 +4.4%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?Ends in 2d	Yes	21	14¢ → 30¢	$6	+$3 +120%
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d	No	7	82¢ → 89¢	$6	+$0 +7.5%
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d	No	6	87¢ → 88¢	$5	+$0 +0.2%
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d	No	7	92¢ → 77¢	$5	−$1 −17%
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d	No	7	88¢ → 71¢	$5	−$1 −19%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	10	34¢ → 50¢	$5	+$2 +46%
Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 17d	Yes	20	21¢ → 25¢	$5	+$1 +17%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d	Yes	51	0¢ → 9¢	$5	+$5 +0.0%
Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d	Yes	30	17¢ → 15¢	$5	−$0 −7.7%
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	10	56¢ → 42¢	$4	−$1 −26%
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	7	50¢ → 51¢	$4	+$0 +2.0%
Will UTJ win 9-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d	Yes	30	30¢ → 12¢	$3	−$6 −62%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	3	97¢ → >99¢	$3	+$0 +3.2%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d	Yes	20	50¢ → 17¢	$3	−$7 −67%
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d	No	3	93¢ → 99¢	$3	+$0 +6.3%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	10	63¢ → 28¢	$3	−$3 −55%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended	Yes	50	17¢ → 6¢	$3	−$6 −66%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 83% to 84%?Ends in 2d	Yes	20	9¢ → 14¢	$3	+$1 +51%
Will China’s CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 22d	Yes	30	18¢ → 9¢	$3	−$3 −53%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 82% to 83%?Ends in 2d	Yes	20	28¢ → 12¢	$2	−$3 −57%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 85 km/h or below in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	20	15¢ → 10¢	$2	−$1 −37%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor <82%?Ends in 2d	Yes	21	13¢ → 9¢	$2	−$1 −30%
Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms?Ends in 17d	Yes	20	13¢ → 9¢	$2	−$1 −35%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	30	16¢ → 5¢	$2	−$3 −66%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d	Yes	50	0¢ → 3¢	$1	+$1 +0.0%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d	No	3	46¢ → 37¢	$1	−$0 −21%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	88	22¢ → 1¢	$1	−$19 −95%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
49m	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays51¢	$3
1h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians48¢	$2
1h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays52¢	$3
13h	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	BuyYes25¢	$8
13h	Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.3% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	BuyYes10¢	$2
13h	Will China’s CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	BuyYes18¢	$6
13h	Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$3
13h	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	BuyYes26¢	$8
1d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays52¢	$3
1d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays53¢	$3
1d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians49¢	$2
1d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians49¢	$2
1d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyLos Angeles Dodgers51¢	$3
1d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyLos Angeles Dodgers52¢	$3
1d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyLos Angeles Dodgers60¢	$3
1d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers38¢	$2
1d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers39¢	$2
2d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians54¢	$3
2d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians54¢	$3
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyLos Angeles Dodgers58¢	$3
2d	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?	BuyYes1¢	$1
2d	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 69%+?	BuyYes7¢	$1
2d	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?	BuyYes35¢	$8
2d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays45¢	$2
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyLos Angeles Dodgers58¢	$3
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers41¢	$2
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyLos Angeles Dodgers58¢	$3
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers41¢	$2
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers42¢	$2
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers44¢	$2
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers44¢	$0
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers45¢	$2
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyLos Angeles Dodgers58¢	$3
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers38¢	$2
2d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers39¢	$2
2d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians49¢	$2
2d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians54¢	$3
3d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays46¢	$2
3d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyLos Angeles Dodgers58¢	$3
3d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyLos Angeles Dodgers61¢	$3
3d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers38¢	$2
3d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays53¢	$3
3d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers42¢	$1
3d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays46¢	$0
3d	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyTampa Bay Rays55¢	$3
4d	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyTampa Bay Rays55¢	$3
4d	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays46¢	$2
4d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers38¢	$2
4d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyLos Angeles Dodgers61¢	$1
4d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyLos Angeles Dodgers61¢	$2
4d	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyCleveland Guardians44¢	$2
4d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers44¢	$2
4d	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyCleveland Guardians44¢	$2
4d	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyCleveland Guardians43¢	$2
4d	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyCleveland Guardians44¢	$1
4d	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyCleveland Guardians44¢	$1
4d	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	BuyMilwaukee Brewers39¢	$2
4d	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢	$3
4d	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyTampa Bay Rays60¢	$3
4d	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyTampa Bay Rays60¢	$3

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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