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Polymarket wallet 0xf81dd908b53d4a3ef0e71ccda401db2c1433e027 · on Polymarket since Oct 17, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +16% |
| US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$1 +11% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +233% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 320d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $2 |
| 329d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ | $5 |
| 329d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SellYes14¢ | $1 |
| 332d | Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | SellNo88¢ | $4 |
| 332d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SellNo86¢ | $1 |
| 332d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ | $2 |
| 355d | US x China tariff agreement by November 10? | BuyYes90¢ | $5 |
| 362d | Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | BuyNo21¢ | $1 |
| 364d | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September? | BuyYes30¢ | $1 |
| 364d | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 364d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyNo78¢ | $1 |
| 364d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes95¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.