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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | +2 pts | +4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d |  k7X9mP2qW4 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo>99¢ | $5,300 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | Troopnet33 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,420 | −$44 −1.0% | — |
| 230d |  AgricultureSecretary | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,499 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | sensesprofound | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,721 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d |  1sk | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,169 | +$29 +0.7% | 4 |
| 230d | Trustinghorse | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,264 | +$29 +1.3% | 4 |
| 230d | TopFanLi | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | −$80 −2.0% | — |
| 230d | Smoggy-Release3 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,452 | +$163 +2.5% | 4 |
| 230d | Icky-Strategy | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | −$75 −6.2% | — |
| 230d |  cynical.reason2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,682 | +$134 +2.0% | 4 |
| 230d |  debased | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,965 | +$258 +8.7% | 4 |
| 230d | PeterEriksson | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,451 | −$29 −2.0% | — |
| 230d | denizz | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,995 | +$91 +2.3% | 4 |
| 230d |  Roflan-ludoman | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | +$184 +14% | 4 |
| 230d | obamaosama | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,585 | −$553 −35% | — |
| 230d | Polished-Foray | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$273 +27% | 4 |
| 230d | k7X9mP2qW42 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | +$711 +27% | 4 |
| 230d | GENRIC | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | −$542 −42% | — |
| 231d | FK.Hms | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | +$435 +33% | 4 |
| 231d | Occasional-Rug | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $2,309 | +$2,088 +90% | 4 |
| 231d | 0x61a2…62002 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellYes78¢ → 0¢ | $2,231 | +$2,231 +100% | — |
| 232d | Jungerrespecter | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellYes68¢ → 0¢ | $1,733 | +$1,733 +100% | — |
| 232d | AnonSequitur2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $3,578 | −$3,578 −100% | 4 |
| 234d | Jungerrespecter | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 234d | Matelleti2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellYes76¢ → 0¢ | $2,101 | +$2,101 +100% | — |
| 235d | 0x7014…cef7 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,108 | +$1,108 +100% | — |
| 236d | Angry-Trolley | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | +$1,013 +100% | — |
| 240d | debased | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo21¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$3,809 −376% | — |
| 241d | Roflan-ludoman3 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $3,435 | −$3,435 −100% | 4 |
| 243d | Matelleti | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $3,427 | −$3,427 −100% | 4 |
| 248d | debased | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $2,544 | −$2,544 −100% | 4 |
| 249d | 0x7014…cef7 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,198 | −$1,198 −100% | 4 |
| 251d |  Chims | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $1,045 | −$1,045 −100% | 4 |
| 251d | slight- | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellYes54¢ → 0¢ | $12,410 | +$12,410 +100% | — |
| 258d | oryn69 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo20¢ → 100¢ | $1,609 | −$6,391 −397% | — |
| 258d | abuzzin | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $2,127 | −$2,127 −100% | 4 |
| 259d | 0x0ce4…5a91 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo34¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$1,927 +191% | 4 |
| 267d | bababaaaaba2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo29¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$6,006 +240% | 8 |
| 268d |  ComingBack | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 269d | cigarettes3 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $7,918 | −$7,918 −100% | 4 |
| 272d | noidsam | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,129 | +$1,129 +100% | — |
| 273d | Melody6262 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $5,397 | −$5,397 −100% | 4 |
| 274d |  Jamwayne | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $2,275 | −$2,275 −100% | 4 |
| 275d | cigarettes2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $3,048 | +$3,652 +120% | 5 |
| 275d |  Naichli | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $2,441 | −$2,441 −100% | 4 |
| 276d | tgrdy | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,809 | +$1,809 +100% | — |
| 277d | PuggyTrades | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$1,622 +150% | 4 |
| 277d |  gopfan2 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellYes61¢ → 0¢ | $6,215 | +$6,215 +100% | — |
| 277d | TheBigYulanda | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo39¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$1,585 −156% | — |
| 279d | Troopnet33 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,464 +123% | 5 |
| 279d | Grouchy-Dining | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo41¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$1,466 −144% | — |
| 279d |  MEPP2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | moa122 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellNo41¢ → 100¢ | $2,155 | −$3,087 −143% | — |
| 279d |  Obamnna | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | SellYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,031 | +$1,031 +100% | — |
| 280d | Parcelino | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,722 | +$2,602 +151% | 5 |
| 280d | 0x61a2…6200 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $2,892 | −$2,892 −100% | 4 |
| 281d | Detailed-BoneNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo39¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$1,880 +154% | 19 |
| 281d | Decent-Corporal | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo38¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$1,864 +164% | 7 |
| 281d | moa122 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo29¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$2,934 +245% | 5 |
| 282d | gopfan2 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,419 | −$1,419 −100% | 4 |
gopfan24,432 shares
SvenKl112 sharesThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Khamenei leaves Iran Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran: This market will resolve to "No" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Khamenei leaves Iran: This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "No". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.