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Polymarket wallet 0x43790a4ca4099b952d8686078a8c246e722b81dc · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2026 · also shown as Known-Nod
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiSettled - ready to redeem | No | 35 | 40¢ → 100¢ | $35 | +$21 +150% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 46¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$6 +117% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 74 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 280d | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BuyNo40¢ | $14 |
| 280d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes27¢ | $20 |
| 280d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes46¢ | $5 |
| 280d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes31¢ | $5 |
| 280d | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | BuyYes15¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.