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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 571d | Ordon | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,679 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 571d | 911TurboS | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $109,890 | +$110 +0.1% | 4 |
| 571d |  Dropper3 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $25,302 | +$599 +2.4% | 4 |
| 571d | rwo | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,801 | +$48 +0.7% | 4 |
| 571d | Ordon | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | +$18 +1.1% | 4 |
| 571d |  Infringe | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,055 | +$67 +1.1% | 4 |
| 571d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,126 | +$229 +4.5% | 4 |
| 571d |  Car11 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $23,755 | +$7,773 +33% | 4 |
| 571d | 0x7853…36d8 | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,581 | −$1,226 −34% | — |
| 571d |  Mecky | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $3,356 | −$1,644 −49% | — |
| 572d | Car7 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $18,376 | −$5,955 −32% | — |
| 573d | BAP2 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $3,027 | −$3,027 −100% | 9 |
| 575d |  MEPP | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,323 | +$1,323 +100% | — |
| 575d |  ScarletRot | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $5,566 | +$3,954 +71% | 4 |
| 576d | igor13 | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,023 | +$1,023 +100% | — |
| 576d |  BussyBlaster | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,939 | −$1,699 −88% | — |
| 576d | Kapii | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $4,172 | −$4,172 −100% | 6 |
| 576d | Mecky | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$764 +68% | 4 |
| 576d | MEPP | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,292 | −$1,292 −100% | 4 |
| 576d | Car | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $2,010 | −$2,010 −100% | 6 |
| 577d |  OneBadBet | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,895 | −$758 −40% | — |
| 581d | nonkenny90 | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$420 +39% | 4 |
| 582d | MEPP13 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $37,433 | −$13,258 −35% | — |
| 582d | denizz3 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $16,789 | −$5,860 −35% | — |
| 583d | StudentMoney5 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $8,816 | −$2,301 −26% | — |
| 584d |  MotherTheresa25 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $94,415 | +$8,080 +8.6% | 4 |
| 588d |  Earningsss | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellNo16¢ → 0¢ | $1,594 | +$1,594 +100% | — |
| 589d |  MisTKy32 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,304 | −$694 −21% | — |
| 591d |  Euan3 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $5,183 | −$721 −14% | — |
| 591d |  KnureKnume2 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | −$991 −33% | — |
| 591d | MotherTheresa | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo8¢ → 0¢ | $1,253 | −$1,253 −100% | 6 |
| 591d | QQQ90002 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellNo17¢ → 0¢ | $4,944 | +$4,944 +100% | — |
| 591d | denizz6 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $10,820 | +$1,930 +18% | 4 |
| 591d | Earningsss | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,479 | −$1,479 −100% | 6 |
| 591d | Euan | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$309 +16% | 4 |
| 591d |  tsybka2 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,719 | −$693 −25% | — |
| 592d | tsybka4 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $7,845 | +$3,571 +46% | 4 |
| 592d | KnureKnume | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | +$560 +46% | 4 |
| 592d | sfourty | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,752 | +$1,752 +100% | — |
| 592d | QQQ9000 | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,454 | −$1,454 −100% | 5 |
| 592d | denizz | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,097 | +$1,097 +100% | — |
| 593d |  GoriIIa | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellNo40¢ → 0¢ | $3,142 | +$3,142 +100% | — |
| 593d | Linslav | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,063 | +$1,063 +100% | — |
| 593d |  Kaizer2 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellNo43¢ → 0¢ | $2,482 | +$2,482 +100% | — |
| 594d | Blozzers | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $4,944 | −$4,944 −100% | 4 |
| 594d | jj1970jj | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes52¢ → 100¢ | $3,690 | −$3,421 −93% | — |
| 595d | LyserLion | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $60,826 | −$60,341 −99% | — |
| 595d | Thalvior | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $60,220 | −$60,220 −100% | 4 |
| 595d | sfourty4 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $6,711 | −$6,711 −100% | 12 |
| 595d | nuvnei | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $2,442 | +$2,442 +100% | — |
| 595d | denizz | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $1,891 | −$1,891 −100% | 4 |
| 596d | MisTKy3 | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,565 | +$695 +20% | 4 |
| 596d | nuvnei | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,566 | −$1,566 −100% | 6 |
| 596d | jj1970jj | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,899 | +$601 +21% | 4 |
| 596d | K12V77 | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$345 +22% | 4 |
| 597d | nuvnei | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | −$464 −31% | — |
| 597d | GoriIIa | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,160 | −$1,160 −100% | 5 |
| 598d |  Dasbh | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$168 +15% | 4 |
| 600d | nuvnei | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$464 +31% | 4 |
| 600d | MEPP3 fills | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $9,975 | +$7,135 +72% | 4 |
TarasShevchenko3,853 shares
Fartard2,095 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between February 20 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that involves Ukraine agreeing to provide economic compensation to the U.S. for the repayment of aid. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes, but is not limited to, agreements related to the repayment of aid through mineral rights, rights to future profits, licenses, financial commitments, or any other form of economic compensation reported as repayment for aid by a consensus of credible reporting. An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted. An agreement for Ukraine to purchase U.S. goods, including military equipment, will not qualify unless it explicitly described as repayment for aid. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.