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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | −1 pts | −6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d |  DiamondHands11 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $76,159 | +$77 +0.1% | 20 |
| 230d |  ZhangMuZhi..8 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $79,754 | +$218 +0.3% | 20 |
| 230d |  BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $28,735 | +$124 +0.4% | 20 |
| 230d |  beenraping9 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $51,857 | +$341 +0.7% | 20 |
| 230d | Superior-Nationality | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,205 | −$70 −0.7% | — |
| 230d |  Malfunction.2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $34,770 | +$183 +0.5% | 20 |
| 230d | M8882 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,016 | +$158 +1.4% | 20 |
| 230d | Sweaty-Claw | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,803 | +$22 +0.2% | 20 |
| 230d | C03B | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,936 | +$200 +1.1% | 20 |
| 230d | dzsibenaja | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | +$19 +1.4% | 20 |
| 230d | Dit269782 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,533 | −$127 −1.5% | — |
| 230d | Amrosein2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $17,052 | −$663 −3.9% | — |
| 230d | Maplemonkey | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,797 | −$28 −1.6% | — |
| 230d | haraya | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,031 | −$46 −1.5% | — |
| 230d |  StupidMonkeyyy2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,322 | +$77 +1.2% | 20 |
| 230d | romanticpaul2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,812 | −$52 −1.4% | — |
| 230d | Gdub2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,330 | +$96 +1.1% | 20 |
| 230d |  Parz1vaI11 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $35,789 | +$6,253 +17% | 20 |
| 230d |  tourists | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,025 | −$159 −1.8% | — |
| 230d | simbich | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$16 +1.1% | 20 |
| 230d | Mishanya19 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | −$15 −1.1% | — |
| 230d |  Festka | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,099 | −$41 −1.0% | — |
| 230d |  TheSwedishWolf | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 230d | Superior-Woodland | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,641 | −$18 −1.1% | — |
| 230d | 0x4e25…d7a73 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $11,034 | +$5,810 +53% | 20 |
| 230d | Festka | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $14,162 | +$289 +2.0% | 20 |
| 230d |  LadyLuck23 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,680 | +$229 +3.0% | 20 |
| 230d | Sticky-Closing | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$41 +3.8% | 20 |
| 230d | Fragrant-Digestive | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | −$63 −5.0% | — |
| 230d | Generator | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,779 | +$151 +3.2% | 20 |
| 230d | bettify26 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | −$111 −5.6% | — |
| 230d | Parz1vaI5 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $16,676 | −$1,922 −12% | — |
| 230d | Hdfbfg | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$24 −2.3% | — |
| 230d |  TheAugur | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 20 |
| 230d |  Flipadelphia | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $16,595 | +$289 +1.7% | 20 |
| 230d | runsilent2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,727 | −$132 −2.3% | — |
| 230d | TOPO852 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $7,034 | −$2,165 −31% | — |
| 230d | migga | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | +$23 +1.7% | 20 |
| 230d | AltJerem | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,874 | +$44 +1.5% | 20 |
| 230d | minoxum | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $55,571 | −$2,106 −3.8% | — |
| 230d |  DEGENKHAN | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | −$23 −1.9% | — |
| 230d |  Gr33d3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $5,834 | −$686 −12% | — |
| 230d |  JFK01 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,707 | −$71 −1.9% | — |
| 230d | muros | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,303 | −$82 −1.9% | — |
| 230d | runsilent | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,869 | +$108 +3.8% | 20 |
| 230d | Gr33d2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $4,172 | +$1,313 +31% | 20 |
| 230d | masturbator3000 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$123 +11% | 20 |
| 230d |  Erasmus. | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $44,989 | +$5,011 +11% | 20 |
| 230d | wan123 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $16,354 | +$2,213 +14% | 20 |
| 230d |  classified13 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $76,066 | +$17,784 +23% | 20 |
| 230d | 65154861 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,848 | −$552 −30% | — |
| 230d | classified2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,017 | −$899 −18% | — |
| 230d | TheSwedishWolf | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$185 +18% | 20 |
| 230d | projectparrot | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | −$212 −16% | — |
| 230d | tourists4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $8,016 | +$1,168 +15% | 20 |
| 230d | Pog4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $13,559 | +$2,139 +16% | 20 |
| 230d |  Brokie | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $8,600 | +$1,400 +16% | 20 |
| 230d | BT-polymarket2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,810 | +$797 +21% | 20 |
| 230d | MrMarket | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$340 +20% | 20 |
| 230d | KYUCII | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,327 | +$1,327 +100% | — |
Alexparker37,055 shares
AllByMyseIf11,339 shares
Roflan-ludoman4,507 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.