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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 352d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,039 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 352d | mybigmoney | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,993 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 352d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 353d | 0x4281…d8f1 | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | +$68 +0.7% | 4 |
| 354d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$14 −1.2% | — | |
| 356d | wubddh | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,137 | +$23 +1.1% | 4 |
| 360d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,101 | −$69 −1.7% | — | |
| 361d | asfgh | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,786 | +$52 +1.9% | 4 |
| 365d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $20,172 | +$2,080 +10% | 4 | |
| 367d | Eatpraylove | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$39 +3.1% | 4 |
| 369d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,840 | +$130 +4.6% | 4 | |
| 374d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,022 | +$638 +13% | 4 | |
| 378d | denizz6 fills | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $19,484 | −$3,420 −18% | — |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,857 | +$335 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 389d | peegeeleeks | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | −$107 −9.9% | — |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,356 | −$361 −11% | — | |
| 389d | denizz4 fills | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $12,839 | +$1,928 +15% | 4 |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,523 | −$348 −9.9% | — | |
| 389d | milccc | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,287 | −$226 −9.9% | — |
| 389d | hitjnn214 | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | −$180 −9.9% | — |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$105 −7.5% | — | |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,030 | −$470 −7.8% | — | |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $5,319 | +$1,788 +34% | 4 | |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $3,066 | −$1,938 −63% | — | |
| 389d | Jofe | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$551 −37% | — |
| 389d | SaylorMoon | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | −$457 −35% | — |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | +$881 +34% | 4 | |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $5,822 | +$2,310 +40% | 4 | |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$415 +39% | 4 | |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | +$635 +45% | 4 | |
| 389d | SaylorMoon | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$571 +47% | 4 |
| 389d | pantomime | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$521 +45% | 4 |
| 389d | denizz | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $2,070 | −$2,070 −100% | 4 |
| 389d | Lalaf | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | −$326 −23% | — |
| 389d | K9S | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$304 +20% | 4 |
| 389d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,239 | −$1,239 −100% | 4 | |
| 406d | thebtcbear | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,924 | +$576 +30% | 4 |
| 440d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | +$328 +22% | 4 | |
| 442d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$273 +27% | 4 | |
| 492d | amused85 | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,553 | −$315 −20% | — |
| 512d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$574 +45% | 4 | |
| 524d | Eloreth | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $37,674 | −$18,556 −49% | — |
| 524d | Eloreth | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $38,240 | +$17,995 +47% | 4 |
| 531d | Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. publicly announces that he or an affiliated team has identified a definitive cause of autism between April 18 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If RFK Jr. identifies multiple causes, this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source will be announcements from RFK Jr., however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.