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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0% | 100% | +12 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 3.5% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3.6% | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3.7% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3.8% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3.9% | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  DEGENKHAN | 2.0% | SellNo>99¢ | $6,506 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | DEGENKHAN | 3.0% | SellNo>99¢ | $6,885 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | newt | 3.6% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,473 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | newt | 3.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,851 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | newt | 3.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,739 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | newt | 2.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,359 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d | Eatpraylove | 3.7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,287 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d | tiredShip | 1.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,897 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 293d | Eatpraylove7 fills | 3.5% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $61,813 | +$1,752 +2.8% | 4 |
| 295d | harrypotterr2 fills | 3.9% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,969 | +$14 +0.5% | 4 |
| 295d | Clown | 3.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 295d | tiredShip2 fills | 3.5% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,078 | +$122 +0.9% | 4 |
| 296d | taralynnbar | 3.5% | BuyNo100¢ | $3,344 | +$17 +0.5% | 4 |
| 296d |  XAE12Archangel | 3.5% | BuyNo100¢ | $1,982 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 296d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | 3.5% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,040 | −$57 −0.6% | — |
| 297d |  VegemiteLover | 2.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 297d | VegemiteLover | 3.5% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 305d | eefrgtht | 3.6% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,270 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 305d | nybgtvfnh | 3.6% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,270 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 305d | rfthbtv | 3.6% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,260 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 305d | gbvfuyjnhtgbvf | 3.6% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,082 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 306d | unjhbg | 3.0% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 306d | pako2 fills | 3.5% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,591 | +$125 +0.9% | 4 |
| 306d | efrgtyhuk | 3.0% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 306d | fcvsddfv | 3.0% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,270 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 306d | yhnjbtgvr | 3.0% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,270 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 306d | unjhbg | 3.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,270 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 306d | nhtgbvfcd | 3.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,254 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 306d | ujhyngbvfdcx | 3.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 306d | nhgbvfcdx | 3.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 306d | pako | 3.8% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,129 | +$19 +0.9% | 4 |
| 306d | nbhygvfcdx | 3.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,244 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 306d | ujnhybgvg | 3.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,310 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 306d |  NotOver | 3.7% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | +$14 +0.8% | 4 |
| 306d | NotOver4 fills | 3.5% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,565 | +$162 +1.7% | 4 |
| 307d | tiredShip | 3.5% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,148 | −$68 −1.3% | — |
| 308d | NotOver2 fills | 3.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,031 | +$46 +1.5% | 4 |
| 308d | NotOver | 2.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$6 +0.6% | 4 |
| 309d | neqmlwcerf1o | 3.5% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,529 | +$36 +1.0% | 4 |
| 309d | vslub2ludwy2 | 3.5% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,529 | +$36 +1.0% | 4 |
| 309d | odedhrcqgw62 | 3.5% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,524 | +$36 +1.0% | 4 |
| 309d | medcqhfm8tfo | 3.5% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,534 | +$36 +1.0% | 4 |
| 310d | pako | 3.9% | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | +$110 +9.6% | 4 |
| 318d | DEGENKHAN2 fills | 2.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,295 | +$111 +1.5% | 4 |
| 330d | skylove2 fills | 3.5% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,369 | +$131 +3.0% | 4 |
| 340d | gdhdtydfgdty311 | 1.0% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,182 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 340d | dfgsefsdfare2326 | 1.0% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,909 | −$19 −1.0% | — |
| 340d | gdhdtydfgdty311 | 1.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,184 | +$20 +0.9% | 4 |
| 340d | dfgsefsdfare2326 | 1.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | +$17 +0.9% | 4 |
| 340d | sdrgdfvrtyh634 | 1.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,211 | +$18 +0.8% | 4 |
| 340d | fdhdfgrtge213 | 1.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,888 | +$15 +0.8% | 4 |
| 341d | mrjuicy | 2.0% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$18 +1.6% | 4 |
| 342d | eeuar1fwobeq | 3.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,476 | +$49 +1.4% | 4 |
| 342d | mwosavs75q2i | 3.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,476 | +$49 +1.4% | 4 |
| 342d | fdgjdfsg15634 | 3.0% | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | −$36 −1.6% | — |
| 342d | dsfhadctju163 | 3.0% | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,117 | −$34 −1.6% | — |
| 342d | ghjdfgsdg1654 | 3.0% | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | −$28 −1.6% | — |
| 342d | ghjdfgsdg1654 | 3.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$27 +1.5% | 4 |
| 342d | dsfhadctju163 | 3.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,120 | +$32 +1.5% | 4 |
| 342d | fdgjdfsg15634 | 3.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,205 | +$34 +1.5% | 4 |
FishyAF992 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between February 24 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 4.0% means the market gives it about 100%.