| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 1,440 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $1,339 | +$154 +13% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 60d | Yes | 623 | 69¢ → 83¢ | $514 | +$83 +19% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 60d | No | 452 | 67¢ → 86¢ | $386 | +$82 +27% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 500 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $382 | −$12 −3.2% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 245 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $158 | −$6 −3.6% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | No | 136 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $133 | +$28 +27% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 178 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $124 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 34¢ → 98¢ | $118 | +$77 +192% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 502 | 39¢ → 19¢ | $95 | −$100 −51% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2,194 | 30¢ → 3¢ | $75 | −$587 −89% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 1,517 | 36¢ → 3¢ | $52 | −$492 −91% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,065 | 27¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$258 −89% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 907 | 29¢ → 3¢ | $29 | −$237 −89% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | No | 121 | 37¢ → 19¢ | $23 | −$23 −50% |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 60d | Yes | 437 | <1¢ → 2¢ | $7 | +$5 +309% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,996 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,050 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,977 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 82 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 99 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,500 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$159 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,615 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,108 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,105 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$312 −100% |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 984 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 483 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,126 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$609 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$240 −100% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 242 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,009 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$151 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 490 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 141 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,975 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$658 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 258 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$190 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 214 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 265 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor FritzSettled - ready to redeem | Fritz | 500 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 134 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super GiantsSettled - ready to redeem | Kolkata Knight Riders | 1,000 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$320 −100% |
| French election called by October 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 177 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Spread: 49ers (-7.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Panthers | 300 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 124 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,600 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 362 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 625 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$396 −100% |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 511 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$463 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 980 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$491 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 241 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$835 −100% |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 695 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,191 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bank of England rate cut in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 217 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,007 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$192 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 426 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$182 −100% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 210 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,295 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$737 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$520 −100% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,560 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$567 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 664 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?Settled - ready to redeem | Punjab Kings | 130 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA reach $200 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 954 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$109 −100% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 390 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,595 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$195 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21,026 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,421 −100% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,947 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,905 −100% |
| Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 218 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,170 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,748 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,251 −100% |
| Next French confidence vote passes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 247 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$188 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,202 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$895 −100% |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 633 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 187 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| French confidence vote fails?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 305 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$280 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 116 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,080 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$362 −100% |
| Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab KingsSettled - ready to redeem | Mumbai Indians | 40 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,071 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$524 −100% |
