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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +36 pts | +82 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124d |  ZhangMuZhisDaddy2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $41,207 | +$41 +0.1% | 20 |
| 124d | looppau | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,930 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 124d | NeoOracle | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 124d |  Car7 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $70,250 | +$3,782 +5.4% | 20 |
| 124d | zine132 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,708 | +$46 +0.3% | 20 |
| 124d | fantastic553 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,682 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 124d |  bullishkirby3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $106,500 | +$256 +0.2% | 20 |
| 124d | enjoyevery | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,988 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 124d |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e055 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $37,955 | +$2,894 +7.6% | 20 |
| 124d | SleeperHunter | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,960 | +$40 +0.4% | 20 |
| 124d |  wbxxx2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes>99¢ | $13,714 | −$55 −0.4% | — |
| 124d | 1215361567 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes>99¢ | $11,963 | −$48 −0.4% | — |
| 124d |  yen4u2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,187 | +$85 +0.3% | 20 |
| 124d |  zthunderfury | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,750 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 124d |  Debosnys | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,241 | +$16 +0.3% | 20 |
| 124d | BrightStars3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $37,976 | +$13,095 +34% | 20 |
| 124d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,234 | +$72 +0.3% | 20 |
| 124d |  Dragontree2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $29,586 | −$2,666 −9.0% | — |
| 124d |  Jep-G | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 124d | Trustinghorse8 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $114,315 | +$8,137 +7.1% | 20 |
| 124d |  lranon2nd2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$820 +7.5% | 20 |
| 124d | damensch | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | +$54 +3.4% | 20 |
| 124d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA960412 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $18,494 | +$8,748 +47% | 20 |
| 124d | denizz7 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes23¢ → 100¢ | $51,000 | +$169K +331% | 40 |
| 124d | NoSteinNoGate | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$213 +14% | 20 |
| 124d | 0x3290…551f | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,813 | −$618 −22% | — |
| 124d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96049 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $14,320 | −$7,633 −53% | — |
| 124d | Detailed-Lip | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | +$1,039 +100% | — |
| 124d |  ScottyNooo8 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $43,248 | +$20,338 +47% | 20 |
| 124d | Aptx44869 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyNo19¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 124d | Quarzo3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $3,802 | +$2,553 +67% | 20 |
| 124d |  aenews22 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $17,875 | +$4,999 +28% | 20 |
| 124d | yuhyuhyuhy3523524 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $10,519 | −$10,519 −100% | 31 |
| 124d |  yungstalin | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $7,548 | +$1,887 +25% | 20 |
| 124d |  FEAROFWHAT | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,166 | −$1,620 −39% | — |
| 124d | Skinny-Class | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $2,209 | −$2,209 −100% | 23 |
| 124d | hooterz | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $9,143 | −$3,034 −33% | — |
| 124d |  paddaa | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$1,792 +30% | 20 |
| 124d | Wagmi420 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,180 | −$651 −30% | — |
| 124d |  debased3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $4,884 | −$3,378 −69% | — |
| 124d | Wagmi420 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $9,019 | +$2,694 +30% | 20 |
| 124d |  pup16 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $13,761 | +$10,965 +80% | 20 |
| 124d | LukiB | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $3,816 | +$1,114 +29% | 20 |
| 124d | cashy2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $5,699 | +$2,644 +46% | 20 |
| 124d | Skinny-Class23 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $51,604 | −$51,969 −101% | — |
| 124d | k00pa | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,126 | −$1,074 −34% | — |
| 124d | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e052 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $3,863 | −$1,767 −46% | — |
| 124d |  Kalags | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$303 −30% | — |
| 124d |  MisTKy10 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $52,566 | −$26,502 −50% | — |
| 124d | MisTKy15 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $75,292 | +$51,517 +68% | 20 |
| 124d | Jep-G | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$420 +27% | 20 |
| 124d |  Warren-Buffett4 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $17,997 | −$15,614 −87% | — |
| 124d | Candid-Attacker | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | −$356 −32% | — |
| 124d |  HowToBasic | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,842 | +$1,842 +100% | — |
| 124d | Responsible-Leaker | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 23 |
| 124d |  GollumGekko6 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $22,665 | +$15,543 +69% | 20 |
| 124d |  zb82 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $7,527 | +$7,253 +96% | 20 |
| 124d | Newshound2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $5,648 | +$1,512 +27% | 20 |
| 124d | Skinny-Class14 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $43,195 | +$39,700 +92% | 20 |
| 124d | test123123123155523 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$304 −28% | — |
LlamaLoco0000110,934 shares
Wan23494,072 shares
DaOnepiece76,019 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.