| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 29,258 | 38¢ → 92¢ | $26,771 | +$15,694 +142% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,432 | 19¢ → 65¢ | $6,796 | +$4,816 +243% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 6,139 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $4,635 | +$315 +7.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4,597 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $3,993 | +$393 +11% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12,491 | 55¢ → 17¢ | $2,061 | −$4,863 −70% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 17,197 | 44¢ → 7¢ | $1,204 | −$6,419 −84% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,183 | 61¢ → 11¢ | $900 | −$4,097 −82% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,125 | 0¢ → 13¢ | $391 | +$391 +0.0% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,616 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $349 | −$451 −56% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,288 | 45¢ → 3¢ | $334 | −$4,246 −93% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,852 | 35¢ → 11¢ | $299 | −$701 −70% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 175 | 57¢ → 91¢ | $159 | +$59 +59% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 79 | 63¢ → 93¢ | $74 | +$24 +47% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 63 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $60 | +$10 +20% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 405 | 24¢ → 8¢ | $30 | −$67 −69% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 71¢ → 94¢ | $26 | +$6 +31% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 136 | 38¢ → 10¢ | $13 | −$39 −75% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 7 | 70¢ → 93¢ | $7 | +$2 +33% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 401 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$44 −88% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +12% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 29 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 23¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$0 −30% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 38¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$1 −64% |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,875 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$966 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,786 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,319 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,441 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$308 −100% |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 605 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,500 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$510 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$362 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18,030 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,235 −100% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$226 −100% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 349 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,633 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,430 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,782 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21,344 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12,980 −100% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$166 −100% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,333 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$950 −100% |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 364 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$216 −100% |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,508 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,612 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 −100% |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,425 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$180 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 251 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,252 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 882 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18,068 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,943 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,250 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,731 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,289 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,802 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 124 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,578 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$301 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,962 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,005 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$338 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,100 −100% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,071 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$428 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,111 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,001 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,771 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,488 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,214 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,417 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,397 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 109 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,195 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,014 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,934 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,804 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$749 −100% |
| Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 116 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16,215 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$678 −100% |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,431 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,296 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$290 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,279 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$127 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 124 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,433 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,311 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$600 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,049 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,310 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$154 −100% |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25,350 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,080 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,617 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$375 −100% |
| Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 435 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,877 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,855 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
