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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer - UK PM | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Macron - France President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Erdoğan - Türkiye President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Xi - General Secretary of the CCP | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Netanyahu - Israel PM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Albanese - Australia PM | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Newsom - California Governor | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Milei - Argentina President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Trump - USA President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Putin - Russia President | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Lula da Silva - Brazil President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Lecornu - France PM | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Takaichi - Japan PM | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Abbas - President of Palestine | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Merz - German Chancellor | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Sánchez - Spanish PM | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Sheinbaum - Mexico President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Petro - Colombia President | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| al-Sharaa - Syria President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| None before 2027 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89d | thoodr12 fills | Starmer - UK PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $57,746 | +$486 +0.8% | 4 |
| 89d | thoodr3 fills | Petro - Colombia President | BuyNo>99¢ | $84,049 | +$84 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | thoodr3 fills | Netanyahu - Israel PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $55,580 | +$56 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | bbbcccc | Petro - Colombia President | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | nonkenny902 fills | Starmer - UK PM | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,244 | +$88 +2.1% | 4 |
| 90d | BrightStars | Starmer - UK PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,959 | +$41 +0.3% | 4 |
| 91d |  archaic | Starmer - UK PM | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,942 | −$18 −0.6% | — |
| 91d |  elmcap2 | Starmer - UK PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | +$11 +0.8% | 4 |
| 91d | buoys2 fills | Starmer - UK PM | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,072 | −$55 −1.8% | — |
| 92d | archaic | Starmer - UK PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,605 | +$12 +0.7% | 4 |
| 92d |  schroedermichael | Netanyahu - Israel PM | SellNo>99¢ | $1,307 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 93d |  shannon18 | Abbas - President of Palestine | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,332 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 93d | obowers | None before 2027 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,309 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 94d | conotocaurius | Starmer - UK PM | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,073 | +$58 +1.9% | 4 |
| 95d | conotocaurius2 fills | Starmer - UK PM | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,448 | −$163 −3.7% | — |
| 95d | ChikaBoomPow | Starmer - UK PM | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,168 | −$176 −3.4% | — |
| 96d |  Isengard1 | Starmer - UK PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$17 +1.3% | 4 |
| 98d | 0xcb96…560718 fills | Putin - Russia President | SellNo>99¢ | $54,076 | −$198 −0.4% | — |
| 98d | 0xcb96…5607116 fills | Putin - Russia President | BuyNo>99¢ | $356,071 | +$1,454 +0.4% | 4 |
| 98d | 0x56ac…b82a105 fills | Putin - Russia President | BuyNo>99¢ | $323,572 | +$1,365 +0.4% | 4 |
| 98d | 0x56ac…b82a6 fills | Putin - Russia President | SellNo>99¢ | $18,520 | −$74 −0.4% | — |
| 98d | Daviddu0813 | Starmer - UK PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$30 +1.5% | 4 |
| 99d |  QuarterlyComeback2 fills | Petro - Colombia President | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,262 | −$20 −0.9% | — |
| 99d | 0x22b1…58e02 fills | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,010 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0x7696…1f28 | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,498 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0x45b0…443c | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0xb8eb…5fc1 | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0x7518…8e88 | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0x377b…d94b | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0x2d87…7f88 | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0x04cf…3fc9 | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0xbb2d…4b6c2 fills | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,010 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0xf0e7…5a52 | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0x19da…d99b | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0x20cc…5527 | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0xd63c…26a5 | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 99d | 0xaf0c…8fb4 | None before 2027 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 100d | 0x1110…7ecc | Lecornu - France PM | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 100d | 0x1110…7ecc | Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | SellNo>99¢ | $2,497 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 100d | 0x697c…e67b2 fills | Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | SellNo>99¢ | $5,010 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 101d | 0x3aaf…b83a | Lecornu - France PM | SellNo>99¢ | $1,496 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | 0x3aaf…b83a | Lecornu - France PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 101d | 0x78d1…e968 | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | 0x9925…6a20 | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | 0xf9e0…0a6e | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | 0x57bd…0b4e | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | 0x4823…12dd | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | 0x3c63…9871 | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | 0x3875…2c523 fills | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $7,507 | −$23 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | 0xaa76…94ea | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | 0x23ae…7d2f | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | 0xfab3…59d1 | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | katbot | Starmer - UK PM | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | −$46 −3.6% | — |
| 101d | 0x661e…ff59 | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 101d |  rabbit007 | Starmer - UK PM | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,212 | −$82 −2.6% | — |
| 102d | 0xb4db…ffd2 | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $3,003 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 102d | 0xfbec…64e8 | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 102d | 0x1cf2…2b91 | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 102d | 0x54c7…72b4 | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 102d | 0xf083…f1b92 fills | Abbas - President of Palestine | SellNo>99¢ | $5,005 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
SAMMY1120 shares
RememberAmalek2,500 shares
PancraceRoyer2,000 shares
labistiiia1,000 sharesThis market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Starmer - UK PM means the market gives it about 100%.