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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13,701 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $137 | −$17 −11% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,105 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 986 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33,523 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$257 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $166 |
| 39d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $60 |
| 100d | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BuyNo2¢ | $20 |
| 127d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes9¢ | $105 |
| 127d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $105 |
| 127d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $105 |
| 127d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $105 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.