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Polymarket wallet 0x454131cf2e48aface76d914a68df46e2f5e07df3 · on Polymarket since Feb 19, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 233 | 31¢ → 100¢ | $233 | +$161 +226% |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 207 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 219d | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BuyYes61¢ | $70 |
| 222d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | SellDown>99¢ | $23 |
| 222d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BuyDown88¢ | $20 |
| 222d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes42¢ | $70 |
| 225d | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | BuyYes52¢ | $100 |
| 231d | US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $56 |
| 231d | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes32¢ | $30 |
| 231d | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes30¢ | $41 |
| 238d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BuyUp63¢ | $20 |
| 238d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BuyDown58¢ | $10 |
| 239d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $40 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.