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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 351d |  DFK2 fills | Next French confidence vote passes? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,041 | +$107 +1.1% | 10 |
| 363d | StudentMoney2 fills | Next French confidence vote passes? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,561 | +$68 +1.9% | 10 |
| 401d |  -Jarvis- | Next French confidence vote passes? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$70 +4.9% | 10 |
Theturtle1,868 sharesOn September 8, François Bayrou was ousted as French PM after losing his confidence vote. After being appointed, the new Prime Minister may voluntarily ask for a vote of confidence. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next French confidence vote passes between September 8 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no vote is called by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.