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Polymarket wallet 0x7784f9af5d2e6525de99ff1da0641f20fb87f22a · on Polymarket since Dec 13, 2024 · also shown as Naive-Reciprocity
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Next French confidence vote passes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 22 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.