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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Ulbricht | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sam Bankman-Fried | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Edward Snowden | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roger Ver | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Diddy | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hunter Biden | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Himself | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eric Adams | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve Bannon | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 6 protestor | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Julian Assange | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matt Gaetz | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rudy Giuliani | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Derek Chauvin | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Young Thug | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CZ | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Penny | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bob Menendez | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roger Stone | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rod Blagojevich | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535d |  peasant2 fills | Roger Ver | SellNo>99¢ | $6,059 | −$19 −0.3% | — |
| 535d |  Debosnys | Steve Bannon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,836 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d |  0xCarneyAsada | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,920 | +$33 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | Gambler1968 | Steve Bannon | SellNo>99¢ | $1,846 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | Debosnys4 fills | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,213 | +$44 +0.3% | 20 |
| 535d | frosti4 | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,695 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | NewYorker77 | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,564 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d |  MarilynManson | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,353 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | EnzoDRIVER | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,103 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | Liberalmen | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,346 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Eric Adams | SellNo>99¢ | $1,488 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | jurras6 | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,206 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d |  forumer | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | zyrenix | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,311 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | BCATBCAT | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | InternoBILL | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,031 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | megalomania5 | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,307 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | Nirobaal | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,600 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | Lokomocko | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,063 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 535d | Homolulu8 | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,235 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | Vilgefortz2 fills | Himself | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,477 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | NewDelchi | Roger Ver | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,236 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | summerair | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,256 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 536d | Koniker | Matt Gaetz | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,186 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | dudes | Roger Ver | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,207 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | Thescots | Rudy Giuliani | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | likckers | Rudy Giuliani | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | Koleslove | Roger Ver | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,314 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | malibubarbie-232 | Steve Bannon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d |  wowfarm | Steve Bannon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,291 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 536d |  DFK2 fills | Himself | SellNo>99¢ | $2,202 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 536d | Debosnys | Julian Assange | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,866 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 536d |  bottling2 fills | Eric Adams | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,931 | +$20 +0.7% | 20 |
| 536d | peasant | Steve Bannon | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 536d |  d1k21 | Sam Bankman-Fried | SellNo100¢ | $2,722 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 536d |  BussyBlaster | Roger Ver | SellNo>99¢ | $6,068 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 536d |  DEGENKHAN2 fills | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,516 | +$13 +0.3% | 20 |
| 536d | RobXK | Julian Assange | SellNo>99¢ | $5,088 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 536d | RobXK2 fills | Steve Bannon | SellNo>99¢ | $6,737 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 536d |  scottilicious2 fills | Rudy Giuliani | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,785 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 536d | bobol-457 | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,089 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | MOrelon | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,301 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | bebery | Julian Assange | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | lastdance4 | Roger Ver | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | Koleos | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,323 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 536d | scottilicious | CZ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,974 | −$26 −0.9% | — |
| 537d | Speedlovemessi | Roger Ver | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 537d |  Ahri | Steve Bannon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,345 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 537d | kocan | Steve Bannon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,351 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 537d | BIBIber | Himself | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,126 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 537d | KelllyHrust | Steve Bannon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 537d |  elmcap2 | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,864 | +$36 +0.2% | 20 |
| 537d | elmcap2 | Eric Adams | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,442 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 537d | elmcap22 fills | Steve Bannon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $20,984 | +$406 +1.9% | 20 |
| 537d | elmcap22 fills | Roger Ver | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,910 | +$220 +1.6% | 20 |
| 537d | elmcap22 fills | Julian Assange | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,828 | +$245 +1.2% | 20 |
| 537d | elmcap2 | Himself | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,071 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 537d | elmcap2 | Diddy | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,509 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 537d | elmcap2 | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,554 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 537d | elmcap2 | Hunter Biden | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,198 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
Olive9830,857 shares
xel26,661 sharesThis is a market on whether Donald Trump will issue pardons.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ross Ulbricht means the market gives it about 100%.