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Polymarket wallet 0xf1629522ce3d5e4cb3d6e61ca0cdb980b47fba35 · on Polymarket since Nov 22, 2024 · also shown as Shallow-Sorrow

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $12K
All-time profit: −$3.42K
Volume traded: $538K
All-time rank: #3,153,227
Markets traded: 305
Recent hit rate: 48%24 of last 50 closed

Open positions

11 markets · $12K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	12,048	83¢ → 89¢	$10,663	+$663 +6.6%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,361	81¢ → 96¢	$1,313	+$213 +19%
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	33	30¢ → 90¢	$30	+$20 +196%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	204	38¢ → 13¢	$26	−$52 −67%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	1	77¢ → 94¢	$1	+$0 +21%
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	28	36¢ → 4¢	$1	−$9 −88%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	11,112	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8,760	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8,272	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5,177 −100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	170	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$112 −100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on April 28?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
32d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BuyNo83¢	$10,000
97d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BuyNo81¢	$2,430
124d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	SellYes95¢	$1,304
124d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo4¢	$500
124d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	BuyNo6¢	$500
124d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellYes88¢	$847
126d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo52¢	$300
126d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellYes82¢	$329
126d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo47¢	$177
135d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo67¢	$1,000
135d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo63¢	$5,000
135d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes73¢	$1,000
135d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BuyYes73¢	$1,000
135d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SellNo84¢	$3,854
135d	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	BuyYes81¢	$1,000
137d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	SellYes25¢	$577
164d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	BuyYes66¢	$113
164d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo56¢	$1,336
164d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyYes38¢	$80
166d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BuyNo81¢	$3,000
166d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes39¢	$900
172d	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on April 28?	BuyYes49¢	$100
172d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo46¢	$1,000
175d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	SellNo99¢	$7,173
207d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	BuyNo63¢	$1,925
209d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	BuyNo71¢	$3,000
209d	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	BuyNo77¢	$1
209d	US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	BuyNo63¢	$1
209d	US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?	BuyNo89¢	$1
264d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	SellNo51¢	$30
264d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	SellNo40¢	$128
270d	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	SellNo74¢	$12
270d	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	SellNo74¢	$66
270d	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	SellNo74¢	$20
270d	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$100
272d	Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?	BuyYes69¢	$100
273d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	BuyNo91¢	$50
273d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?	BuyNo70¢	$50
277d	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	BuyNo74¢	$100
277d	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	BuyNo74¢	$100
279d	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SellYes6¢	$1
279d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SellNo57¢	$4
279d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	SellNo49¢	$6
279d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	SellNo73¢	$70
284d	TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?	SellYes47¢	$16
284d	TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?	SellYes49¢	$65
285d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BuyNo88¢	$84
285d	TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?	BuyYes60¢	$100
285d	TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?	SellNo41¢	$92
285d	TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?	BuyNo44¢	$100
285d	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	BuyYes79¢	$100
285d	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	SellNo23¢	$61
287d	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?	BuyNo92¢	$100
290d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BuyNo89¢	$3
290d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BuyNo89¢	$3
290d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BuyNo77¢	$10
290d	Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	BuyNo30¢	$10
290d	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	BuyYes36¢	$10
290d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?	BuyNo89¢	$10
292d	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	BuyNo38¢	$100

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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