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Polymarket wallet 0xc4acaad07023340eca1ebfcde66015e936b3b1e7 · on Polymarket since Nov 12, 2024 · also shown as Hopeful-Grandpa
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.0% |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +22% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Elon tweet 360–389 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Francesca Jones vs Yelyzaveta KotliarSettled - ready to redeem | Francesca Jones | 11 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.