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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOP by 1-2% | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| GOP by 7% or more | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GOP by 6-7% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GOP by 5-6% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GOP by 4-5% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GOP by 3-4% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GOP by 2-3% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GOP by 0-1% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dems by 0-1% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dems by 1-2% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dems by 2-3% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dems by 3-4% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dems by 4-5% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dems by 5-6% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dems by 6-7% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dems by 7% or more | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 668d |  LBZcapital | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes>99¢ | $3,462 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 668d |  Apsalar5 fills | Dems by 0-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,587 | +$30 +0.2% | 10 |
| 668d |  aenews2 | Dems by 0-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $243,313 | +$244 +0.1% | 10 |
| 668d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Dems by 0-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,590 | +$22 +0.1% | 10 |
| 668d | Ordon | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,109 | +$31 +0.1% | 10 |
| 668d | aenews24 fills | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $74,075 | +$1,254 +1.7% | 10 |
| 668d |  RockyZet2 fills | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $38,880 | +$436 +1.1% | 10 |
| 668d | Apsalar | GOP by 7% or more | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,886 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 668d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly3 fills | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $24,489 | +$148 +0.6% | 10 |
| 668d | Vladondel | GOP by 0-1% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,002 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 669d | Vladondel | GOP by 0-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 669d | AnonymousUsername | GOP by 7% or more | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,526 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 669d |  ISMS2222 | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,788 | −$63 −1.1% | — |
| 670d | strictdisclipline | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 670d | strictdisclipline3 fills | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,432 | +$62 +0.4% | 10 |
| 671d | tredsax | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 671d | tredsax | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,050 | +$4 +0.4% | 10 |
| 671d | Niklas-L. | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 671d | AZwater | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,135 | −$25 −0.8% | — |
| 672d | bfhurhf | Dems by 0-1% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,130 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 672d | bfhurhf | Dems by 0-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,135 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 672d | grasshf | GOP by 2-3% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,132 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 672d | grasshf | GOP by 2-3% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,135 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 672d | chengzhhdu | GOP by 2-3% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,132 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 672d | chengzhhdu | GOP by 2-3% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,135 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 672d | chengjisi | GOP by 2-3% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,132 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 672d | chengjisi | GOP by 2-3% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,135 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 672d | dfdffhf | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 672d | dfdffhf | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$10 +0.7% | 10 |
| 672d | sodar13 fills | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes>99¢ | $19,380 | −$97 −0.5% | — |
| 672d | loua12 fills | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes>99¢ | $17,889 | −$90 −0.5% | — |
| 672d | sodar | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,492 | +$6 +0.4% | 10 |
| 672d | VvVv | GOP by 2-3% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 673d | AnonymousUsername2 fills | Dems by 0-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,348 | +$14 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d | NIll-491 | Dems by 0-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 675d | fatfat992222 fills | GOP by 7% or more | SellNo>99¢ | $9,218 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 675d |  MMousse2 fills | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,593 | +$158 +1.0% | 10 |
| 675d |  Atis | GOP by 2-3% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,110 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 675d | Atis | GOP by 2-3% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 676d | suicideboysss2 fills | GOP by 2-3% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,188 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 676d | suicideboysss2 fills | GOP by 2-3% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,190 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 676d | suicideboysss | Dems by 0-1% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,096 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 676d | suicideboysss | Dems by 0-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,097 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 676d | 8811123 fills | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,863 | −$146 −1.5% | — |
| 676d | CatyNap | Dems by 0-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 677d | WorkeR | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$6 +0.6% | 10 |
| 678d |  funnyday | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,037 | −$23 −1.1% | — |
| 678d | Mega | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 678d |  d1k213 fills | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,812 | −$44 −1.1% | — |
| 678d | Subparconductor | GOP by 7% or more | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 680d | dlh | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 680d |  beigesun4 fills | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,824 | +$96 +1.1% | 10 |
| 680d |  Marx.Carney | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,071 | −$46 −0.9% | — |
| 680d | vigna.eth2 fills | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,857 | −$343 −4.4% | — |
| 681d |  elmcap22 fills | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $26,042 | +$377 +1.4% | 10 |
| 681d | koroki | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,843 | −$40 −1.4% | — |
| 681d |  Rasalgethi | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,917 | +$23 +1.2% | 10 |
| 682d | FreeMoney1 | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,186 | +$42 +1.3% | 10 |
| 682d | hjy23 | GOP by 1-2% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,838 | −$46 −1.6% | — |
| 683d | WhatAmIDoing | GOP by 1-2% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,885 | +$78 +1.3% | 10 |
Popular Vote Margin of Victory in Presidential Election?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for GOP by 1-2% means the market gives it about 100%.