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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsi Gabbard | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| RFK Jr. | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pete Hegseth | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Matt Gaetz | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kash Patel | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elise Stefanik | 0% | −97 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mike Huckabee | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chris Wright | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mehmet Oz | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Doug Burgum | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pam Bondi | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Scott Bessent | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kristi Noem | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brooke Rollins | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russell Vought | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sean Duffy | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| John Ratcliffe | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lee Zeldin | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Doug Collins | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Scott Turner | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Marco Rubio | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 557d |  ScamWick | Mike Huckabee | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,325 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 559d | Mrhack210291 | Mike Huckabee | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,037 | −$48 −1.6% | — |
| 560d |  mathematics2 fills | Mike Huckabee | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,356 | −$46 −1.4% | — |
| 561d |  AgricultureSecretary | Mehmet Oz | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,398 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 562d | Trump2028 | Mehmet Oz | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$11 +0.8% | 20 |
| 568d | Mrhack210291 | Mike Huckabee | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,019 | +$65 +2.2% | 20 |
| 568d | Vinivi | Elise Stefanik | SellNo>99¢ | $8,492 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 568d | ScamWick | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,551 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 568d |  Flipadelphia | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,987 | +$106 +0.7% | 20 |
| 568d |  poorpleb | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,867 | +$13 +0.7% | 20 |
| 568d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Mike Huckabee | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | −$69 −4.1% | — |
| 568d | cocos228 | Mehmet Oz | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,607 | −$60 −3.7% | — |
| 568d |  ScarletRot2 fills | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $35,416 | +$335 +0.9% | 20 |
| 568d | poptree | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,979 | +$21 +0.7% | 20 |
| 568d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo100¢ | $1,186 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 568d | DelightfulDelights | Elise Stefanik | SellNo>99¢ | $1,766 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 568d |  Car | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,988 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 568d | BowlOfPunch4 fills | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,778 | +$1,202 +18% | 20 |
| 568d | fsx45 | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $1,549 | +$1,764 +114% | 20 |
| 569d | Bink_7 | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo6¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$16,280 +1483% | 21 |
| 570d | BensonLindsey | Elise Stefanik | SellYes97¢ → 0¢ | $1,507 | +$1,507 +100% | — |
| 570d | BensonLindsey | Elise Stefanik | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,538 | −$1,538 −100% | 20 |
| 571d | Ramsery | Elise Stefanik | SellYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,535 | +$1,535 +100% | — |
| 571d | Ramsery | Elise Stefanik | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,545 | −$1,545 −100% | 20 |
| 577d |  GoldmanSachs | Mike Huckabee | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | −$23 −2.0% | — |
| 582d |  MotherTheresa2 fills | Mehmet Oz | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,843 | −$76 −2.7% | — |
| 585d | fsx45 | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,941 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 585d |  aenews2 | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | SellYes>99¢ | $6,372 | −$17 −0.3% | — |
| 585d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,501 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 |
| 585d | MotherTheresa6 fills | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,167 | +$39 +0.3% | 20 |
| 586d | jj1970jj | Elise Stefanik | SellYes95¢ → 0¢ | $2,521 | +$2,521 +100% | — |
| 589d |  slurpslurpslurp | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | SellYes>99¢ | $1,934 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 589d | Winninghumbly | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | SellYes>99¢ | $2,897 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Elise Stefanik | SellYes97¢ → 0¢ | $1,935 | +$1,935 +100% | — |
| 593d |  CoffeeLover | Mehmet Oz | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$17 +1.4% | 20 |
| 593d |  MEPP5 fills | Elise Stefanik | SellYes97¢ → 0¢ | $18,487 | +$18,487 +100% | — |
| 593d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Elise Stefanik | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $1,492 | −$1,492 −100% | 20 |
| 593d |  sorcerer.01 | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | SellYes>99¢ | $1,529 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 594d | Orivelle | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | BuyYes>99¢ | $40,078 | +$121 +0.3% | 20 |
| 594d | jj1970jj | Elise Stefanik | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $2,603 | −$2,603 −100% | 20 |
| 595d | cocos228 | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,031 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 596d | traderst | Mehmet Oz | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$26 +1.3% | 20 |
| 597d | MEPP6 fills | Mike Huckabee | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $19,585 | −$415 −2.1% | — |
| 597d |  GoriIIa | Elise Stefanik | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $15,255 | −$15,255 −100% | 20 |
| 599d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | −$33 −2.9% | — |
| 599d | Gredsazx | Elise Stefanik | SellYes96¢ → 0¢ | $1,146 | +$1,146 +100% | — |
| 599d | Gredsazx | Elise Stefanik | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $1,169 | −$1,169 −100% | 20 |
| 600d | Arviso | Elise Stefanik | SellYes97¢ → 0¢ | $1,146 | +$1,146 +100% | — |
| 600d | Arviso | Elise Stefanik | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $1,167 | −$1,167 −100% | 20 |
| 600d | HadleighKaua | Elise Stefanik | SellYes98¢ → 0¢ | $1,176 | +$1,176 +100% | — |
| 600d | HadleighKaua | Elise Stefanik | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,187 | −$1,187 −100% | 20 |
| 600d | zbuhukio | Mike Huckabee | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | −$22 −2.0% | — |
| 600d | zbuhukio | Mike Huckabee | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 602d | SitsToPee | Mike Huckabee | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,953 | −$47 −2.4% | — |
| 603d |  HotSulphurMAGA | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,336 | +$26 +1.1% | 20 |
| 603d |  LucyCross4 fills | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,780 | +$172 +2.2% | 20 |
| 603d | gordon.eth | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$29 +2.3% | 20 |
| 603d | Bidensupporter123 | Kash Patel | SellYes>99¢ | $1,051 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  syncope | Kash Patel | SellYes>99¢ | $9,018 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 603d | startrader644 | Kash Patel | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
TimeTraveler12,225 sharesThis is a market on the likelihood of confirmation for various nominees picked by Trump.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tulsi Gabbard means the market gives it about 100%.