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Polymarket wallet 0xac04518ef8f287fc9e3a36bf89f7e2902a51988c · on Polymarket since Feb 18, 2023
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House control after 2024 election?Settled - ready to redeem | Democratic | 167 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Next French confidence vote passes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 620 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 72 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 402d | Next French confidence vote passes? | BuyYes7¢ | $46 |
| 403d | Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France? | BuyNo87¢ | $40 |
| 663d | Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes13¢ | $10 |
| 705d | House control after 2024 election? | BuyDemocratic1¢ | $2 |
| 705d | France loses visa-free access to any African nation in 2024? | SellNo80¢ | $52 |
| 705d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyYes50¢ | $36 |
| 735d | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $36 |
| 737d | France loses visa-free access to any African nation in 2024? | BuyNo74¢ | $49 |
| 737d | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo83¢ | $30 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.