Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radim Dvoracek | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| James Webb | 100% | +48 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | — |
| Derek Hendrickson | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Joey Chestnut | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Max Stanford | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Geoffrey Esper | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Nick Wehry | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Crazy Legs Conti | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Patrick Bertoletti | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Yunho Choi | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Gideon Oji | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Tanner Gray | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| George Chiger | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Jerome Burns | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Cameron Meade | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104d | Radim Dvoracek | BuyO 28+>99¢ | $2,068 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 104d | 0x4452…7ae7 | Derek Hendrickson | BuyO 29+>99¢ | $3,137 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 104d | BondGirls | Max Stanford | BuyO 33+>99¢ | $1,415 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 104d | BondGirls | Nick Wehry | BuyO 43+>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 104d | BondGirls | Joey Chestnut | BuyU <69>99¢ | $1,208 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 104d | 0x4452…7ae7 | Max Stanford | BuyO 33+99¢ → 100¢ | $1,634 | +$17 +1.0% | 4 |
| 104d | 0x4452…7ae7 | Joey Chestnut | BuyU <6999¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the final hot dogs eaten of the listed player during the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest. If the listed player records the listed number of hot dogs or more, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding “Over”. Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding “Under”. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed participant to finish the listed amount of hot dogs 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest, the corresponding market will resolve to "Under". If Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest is cancelled, or postponed after July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, these markets will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Nathan's famous (https://www.nathansfamous.com); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Radim Dvoracek means the market gives it about 100%.