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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-15% | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <3% | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3-6% | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6-9% | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9-12% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15%+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317d |  studmuffin69692 fills | 12-15% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,520 | −$22 −0.9% | — |
| 317d |  TealV | 12-15% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,830 | −$65 −0.7% | — |
| 317d | TealV | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $12,987 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | anciano | 12-15% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,351 | +$13 +0.5% | 10 |
| 322d | pada2 fills | 12-15% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,306 | −$145 −1.6% | — |
| 323d | lijialijia2020 | 9-12% | SellNo>99¢ | $4,588 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 323d | HLB-377 | 12-15% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,633 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 324d |  ScottyNooo | 12-15% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,660 | +$64 +0.7% | 10 |
| 325d |  gopfan2 | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,484 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 325d | gopfan2 | 3-6% | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 326d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 328d | pantomime | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 329d | scrapbook | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 329d | cocococococo | 3-6% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,380 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | Eatpraylove | 15%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $8,485 | −$26 −0.3% | — |
| 333d | yannick | 3-6% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,578 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 333d | yannick | <3% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,185 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 334d |  chungguskhan | 12-15% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,945 | +$55 +1.1% | 10 |
| 335d |  Nostdam | 12-15% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,571 | +$14 +0.9% | 10 |
| 336d | kcnyekchno | 12-15% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,937 | +$151 +1.0% | 10 |
| 338d | vwmlr10ywldd2 | 12-15% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,517 | +$25 +1.0% | 10 |
| 338d | ltndiamcrxpmd | 12-15% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,526 | +$26 +1.0% | 10 |
| 338d | dpqtbog2wco3i | 12-15% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,511 | +$25 +1.0% | 10 |
| 338d | Hlala | 6-9% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,455 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 338d | mpbnrm8s6s4tp | 12-15% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | +$33 +1.3% | 10 |
| 338d | rqsnvcqr22p50 | 12-15% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,506 | +$33 +1.3% | 10 |
| 338d | ahfwd561dmjmh | 12-15% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,507 | +$33 +1.3% | 10 |
| 338d | studmuffin69692 fills | 15%+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,764 | −$22 −0.8% | — |
| 338d | ScottyNooo | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $4,603 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 338d |  tunatyler | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 339d | studmuffin6969 | 6-9% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,305 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 339d | elfzany | 6-9% | SellNo>99¢ | $7,343 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 339d | elfzany | 3-6% | SellNo>99¢ | $4,363 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 339d | belong | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,424 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 340d | Watermelon. | 6-9% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,987 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 340d | Watermelon. | 3-6% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,988 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 340d | Watermelon. | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,995 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 340d | Lighter. | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,567 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 340d | silentelf | 9-12% | SellNo>99¢ | $5,694 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 340d | silentelf | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $7,493 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 340d | hose2 fills | 9-12% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,634 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 341d | cohao | 12-15% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | −$18 −1.1% | — |
| 341d | mybigmoney | 15%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 341d | mybigmoney | 12-15% | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,981 | +$19 +0.5% | 10 |
| 342d | Thin-Print | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,878 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 343d | haraya | 12-15% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | −$17 −1.1% | — |
| 343d |  aenews2 | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $6,120 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 343d | Mangy62 | 9-12% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,657 | −$33 −0.7% | — |
| 343d | HLB-377 | <3% | SellNo>99¢ | $5,395 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 343d | miaowl | 6-9% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,448 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 343d | miaowl | 9-12% | SellNo>99¢ | $7,043 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 343d | 0x263a…e42b | 15%+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,163 | −$32 −1.0% | — |
| 343d | 0x263a…e42b | 15%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,186 | +$9 +0.4% | 10 |
| 343d |  BidenVoter | 12-15% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,020 | −$67 −1.1% | — |
| 344d | RobotAlpha2 fills | 15%+ | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,241 | −$370 −7.1% | — |
| 344d | SUDONAM | 6-9% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,896 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | influenz.eth2 fills | <3% | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,445 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 344d | influenz.eth2 fills | 15%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,030 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 344d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | 15%+ | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,791 | +$299 +6.2% | 10 |
| 344d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | <3% | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,952 | +$521 +18% | 10 |
ShineBright1 shares
NewBeginnings11 shares
..saTOshi..288 sharesThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Mikie Sherrill in the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Sherrill’s certified statewide vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Mikie Sherrill does not receive the most votes statewide in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official certified statewide results as published by the New Jersey Division of Elections (New Jersey Department of State). If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 12-15% means the market gives it about 100%.