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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 527d | New Pope before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,072 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 527d | rbczz | New Pope before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,166 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 527d | New Pope before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,437 | +$19 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 528d | Mhhhhhh | New Pope before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,245 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 528d | robotsir4 fills | New Pope before July? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,599 | −$78 −0.9% | — |
| 528d | New Pope before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,962 | +$46 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 533d | New Pope before July? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,707 | −$24 −0.9% | — | |
| 543d | Sagasta29 | New Pope before July? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | −$43 −2.5% | — |
| 544d | New Pope before July? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | −$34 −2.7% | — | |
| 544d | New Pope before July? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 544d | New Pope before July? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$246 +15% | 4 | |
| 544d | New Pope before July? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$600 +33% | 4 | |
| 554d | New Pope before July? | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,429 | −$1,429 −100% | 4 | |
| 565d | Whaaahhh | New Pope before July? | SellNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,036 | +$1,036 +100% | — |
| 574d | New Pope before July? | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,166 | −$1,166 −100% | 4 | |
| 577d | New Pope before July? | SellNo68¢ → 0¢ | $2,324 | +$2,324 +100% | — | |
| 579d | New Pope before July? | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 4 | |
| 582d | robotsir | New Pope before July? | BuyYes20¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$5,639 +400% | 6 |
| 585d | Dogsinapile | New Pope before July? | SellYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$2,714 −257% | — |
| 590d | Whaaahhh | New Pope before July? | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,276 | −$1,276 −100% | 4 |
| 593d | bluejay | New Pope before July? | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | −$1,012 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Pope after Pope Francis is announced by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Catholic Church, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.