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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 10 | 100% | −11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 31 | 100% | −1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 17 | 100% | −4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 9 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 371d | jaihind | October 10 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,789 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 371d | pierrolefou | October 10 | SellYes100¢ | $1,005 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 371d | October 10 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,264 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 371d | BobbyB2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,145 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 371d | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 371d | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,844 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 371d | trombtvoeimom | October 17 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | +$66 +3.8% | 20 |
| 371d | Back-Restaurant | October 10 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$59 +3.0% | 20 |
| 371d | October 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,084 | +$16 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 371d | October 10 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,443 | +$138 +5.6% | 20 | |
| 372d | calmclover | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,403 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 372d | October 10 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 20 | |
| 372d | October 9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,678 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 372d | crystal1 | October 31 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$41 −4.0% | — |
| 372d | crystal1 | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,066 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 373d | kunann | October 10 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$56 +5.1% | 20 |
| 373d | October 10 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$75 +5.9% | 20 | |
| 374d | October 10 | SellNo91¢ → 0¢ | $1,271 | +$1,271 +100% | — | |
| 375d | ganatalak | October 10 | SellNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,123 | +$1,123 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Prime Minister of France, succeeding Sébastien Lecornu, is appointed by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote. The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for October 10 means the market gives it about 100%.