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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No next Home Secretary in 2026 | 100% | +100 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Pat McFadden | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Ed Miliband | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Yvette Cooper | 0% | −59 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Stephen Kinnock | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| David Lammy | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Jess Phillips | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Dan Jarvis | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Angela Rayner | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Mike Tapp | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| John Healey | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Wes Streeting | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88d |  C6H6 | John Healey | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,427 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d | luckyforce2 | No next Home Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,572 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d |  Pitchforkk | No next Home Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d |  Hakei. | Wes Streeting | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,574 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 88d | 0x2CA | No next Home Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$71 +5.0% | 4 |
| 88d |  Eire | No next Home Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$387 +19% | 4 |
| 93d | Evwo-Jaza | No next Home Secretary in 2026 | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,386 | −$1,386 −100% | 4 |
| 100d |  Mr-Krabs | No next Home Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,120 | +$425 +14% | 4 |
| 105d | whig | No next Home Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,798 | +$656 +23% | 4 |
DOG-UndressedVersion1,261 shares
thx4playing322 shares
QuarterlyComeback113 sharesThis market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Home Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Home Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Home Secretary is appointed, or Shabana Mahmood is re-appointed as Home Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Home Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No next Home Secretary in 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.