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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 19 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 31 | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 30 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 16 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 21 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 20 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99d |  QuarterlyComeback | July 19 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$110 +8.5% | 20 |
| 115d | AJM96 | September 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,097 | +$221 +3.6% | 20 |
sabsabinxz741 shares
WorkArminda500 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for July 19 means the market gives it about 0%.