| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 142 | 35¢ → 94¢ | $133 | +$83 +166% |
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 102 | 39¢ → 100¢ | $102 | +$62 +155% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 102 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $102 | +$52 +104% |
| Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 85 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $85 | +$35 +71% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 95 | 53¢ → 88¢ | $83 | +$33 +66% |
| Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 82 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $82 | +$32 +64% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 94 | 53¢ → 87¢ | $81 | +$31 +62% |
| Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 79 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $79 | +$29 +58% |
| Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 77 | 39¢ → 100¢ | $77 | +$47 +156% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 76 | 39¢ → 100¢ | $76 | +$46 +156% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 81 | 51¢ → 92¢ | $74 | +$33 +81% |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 85 | 59¢ → 86¢ | $72 | +$22 +45% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 81 | 13¢ → 89¢ | $71 | +$61 +581% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 72¢ → 100¢ | $67 | +$19 +39% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 27¢ → 100¢ | $67 | +$49 +270% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 65 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $65 | +$15 +31% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 57 | 31¢ → 100¢ | $57 | +$39 +218% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 57 | 58¢ → 100¢ | $57 | +$24 +72% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 74 | 40¢ → 72¢ | $53 | +$23 +77% |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 104 | 48¢ → 50¢ | $52 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 51 | 37¢ → 100¢ | $51 | +$32 +167% |
| Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$13 +37% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 55 | 54¢ → 87¢ | $48 | +$18 +59% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 54¢ → 85¢ | $47 | +$17 +57% |
| Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $45 | +$18 +68% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 71¢ → 75¢ | $42 | +$2 +5.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 64¢ → 100¢ | $42 | +$15 +55% |
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | No | 44 | 23¢ → 93¢ | $41 | +$31 +303% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 61 | 39¢ → 64¢ | $39 | +$15 +63% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 63¢ → 76¢ | $36 | +$6 +20% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 60¢ → 90¢ | $36 | +$12 +49% |
| Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 34 | 71¢ → 98¢ | $33 | +$9 +37% |
| Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Ends in 182d | No | 34 | 23¢ → 97¢ | $33 | +$25 +323% |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 66 | 45¢ → 50¢ | $33 | +$4 +12% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $33 | +$9 +36% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 35 | 69¢ → 94¢ | $33 | +$9 +36% |
| Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 72¢ → 88¢ | $32 | +$6 +23% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 34 | 71¢ → 94¢ | $31 | +$7 +31% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 34 | 58¢ → 91¢ | $31 | +$11 +56% |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 34 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $31 | +$7 +29% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 18¢ → 55¢ | $30 | +$20 +203% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 31 | 71¢ → 97¢ | $30 | +$8 +37% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 67¢ → 100¢ | $29 | +$9 +49% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 67¢ → 80¢ | $28 | +$4 +18% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $28 | +$12 +70% |
| SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?Ends in 440d | OpenAI | 124 | 11¢ → 23¢ | $28 | +$14 +105% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $26 | +$8 +48% |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 33 | 61¢ → 76¢ | $25 | +$5 +25% |
| Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends in 440d | No | 25 | 60¢ → 98¢ | $25 | +$10 +64% |
| Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends in 440d | No | 26 | 57¢ → 94¢ | $25 | +$10 +64% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $25 | +$10 +64% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 54¢ → 82¢ | $23 | +$8 +52% |
| SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 26¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$17 +285% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 46¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$12 +117% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 23¢ → 77¢ | $22 | +$15 +237% |
| Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 47¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$11 +113% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 46¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$11 +117% |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 64¢ → 90¢ | $21 | +$6 +40% |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 22 | 46¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$11 +105% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 60¢ → 81¢ | $20 | +$5 +34% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 70¢ → 92¢ | $19 | +$5 +32% |
| Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 72¢ → 100¢ | $17 | +$5 +39% |
| Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 79d | Microsoft | 24 | 36¢ → 68¢ | $17 | +$8 +89% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$4 +35% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$4 +32% |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$4 +32% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 18 | 66¢ → 86¢ | $16 | +$4 +30% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 17 | 72¢ → 93¢ | $15 | +$3 +29% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$3 +28% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 17 | 71¢ → 91¢ | $15 | +$3 +27% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 73¢ → 92¢ | $15 | +$3 +25% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $15 | +$3 +23% |
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 33 | 28¢ → 45¢ | $15 | +$5 +59% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $15 | +$3 +21% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 16 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $14 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | No | 70 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $14 | −$2 −9.9% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $14 | +$2 +14% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 15 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $14 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $14 | +$2 +13% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Ends in 256d | No | 23 | 44¢ → 60¢ | $14 | +$4 +35% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $14 | +$2 +13% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $13 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Ends in 133d | No | 15 | 44¢ → 87¢ | $13 | +$6 +97% |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 16d | No | 16 | 10¢ → 81¢ | $13 | +$11 +732% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | No | 18 | 65¢ → 70¢ | $13 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 33¢ → 95¢ | $13 | +$8 +188% |
| Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?Ends in 17d | No | 39 | 28¢ → 31¢ | $12 | +$1 +7.1% |
| FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 20¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$8 +400% |
| Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$4 +65% |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 27 | 46¢ → 37¢ | $10 | −$2 −19% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 55¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$4 +80% |
| Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 31¢ → 62¢ | $9 | +$5 +103% |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 44¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$4 +72% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | No | 125 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $8 | −$2 −21% |
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 62¢ → 30¢ | $7 | −$8 −52% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 58¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$3 +72% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 61 | 34¢ → 11¢ | $7 | −$14 −67% |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 10¢ → 48¢ | $6 | +$5 +404% |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | No | 24 | 42¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$5 −46% |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 64¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +56% |
